Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2023-11-02

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2023-10-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 61964 2861 58 6 0
c1 369 12366 2258 276 0
c2 20 1272 2124 903 0
c3 7 478 531 604 0
c4 3 276 952 1648 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-10-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56227 2726 24 9 0
c1 248 12130 2265 199 0
c2 4 843 2517 1721 0
c3 0 180 655 1108 0
c4 0 35 231 1587 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-10-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51342 3327 30 24 0
c1 305 9587 2974 598 0
c2 0 520 1766 1721 0
c3 0 107 286 617 0
c4 0 18 131 362 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-11-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 59822 3552 64 9 0
c1 667 11583 3741 729 0
c2 0 617 1900 1604 0
c3 0 96 338 469 0
c4 0 5 120 294 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 59714 3645 70 10 0
c1 775 11475 3718 708 0
c2 0 630 1901 1620 0
c3 0 98 346 472 0
c4 0 5 128 295 0

Date: 2023-11-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 59467 2831 65 17 0
c1 479 7854 2656 653 0
c2 0 395 1075 1201 0
c3 0 33 169 248 0
c4 0 2 120 257 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 59402 3018 68 18 0
c1 544 7651 2639 628 0
c2 0 407 1078 1228 0
c3 0 35 181 244 0
c4 0 4 119 258 0

Date: 2023-11-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 57104 2731 39 39 0
c1 686 8380 2060 248 0
c2 0 1368 4392 1914 0
c3 0 111 449 704 0
c4 0 8 119 307 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56846 3113 51 44 0
c1 944 8433 3849 712 0
c2 0 975 2776 1848 0
c3 0 76 290 322 0
c4 0 1 93 286 0

Date: 2023-11-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55557 2955 57 30 0
c1 758 8478 3013 518 0
c2 0 1162 4317 2707 0
c3 0 191 379 547 0
c4 0 42 200 369 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55308 3281 68 33 0
c1 1005 8452 4157 1009 0
c2 2 857 3280 2477 0
c3 0 219 283 299 0
c4 0 19 178 353 0

Date: 2023-11-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 48363 2280 38 33 0
c1 1156 6503 1959 366 0
c2 1 1027 4641 2589 0
c3 1 118 379 386 0
c4 0 15 205 280 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 48054 2510 53 35 0
c1 1460 6402 2483 504 0
c2 7 899 4244 2665 0
c3 0 128 267 215 0
c4 0 4 175 235 0


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