Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2023-10-26

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2023-10-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 67288 3735 8 2 0
c1 1192 7738 1621 521 0
c2 10 808 892 877 0
c3 7 670 486 368 0
c4 0 402 956 765 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-10-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 65438 3073 2 1 0
c1 627 11229 1491 430 0
c2 1 1428 1371 1948 0
c3 0 754 539 1553 0
c4 0 309 618 1117 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-10-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 61052 2734 27 2 0
c1 599 10461 988 211 0
c2 13 1050 1653 741 0
c3 0 638 477 461 0
c4 0 374 885 869 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-10-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55684 2883 46 17 0
c1 377 11944 1409 260 0
c2 11 1280 1876 928 0
c3 4 535 469 623 0
c4 2 242 991 1558 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55608 2919 49 18 0
c1 455 11846 1433 280 0
c2 11 1343 1857 911 0
c3 3 513 448 636 0
c4 1 263 1004 1541 0

Date: 2023-10-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55605 3014 61 15 0
c1 199 12961 3062 454 0
c2 2 907 1996 1210 0
c3 2 290 501 576 0
c4 1 111 708 1253 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55417 2859 66 15 0
c1 389 13078 3073 463 0
c2 1 942 1985 1211 0
c3 2 282 476 563 0
c4 0 122 728 1256 0

Date: 2023-10-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56769 2847 35 2 0
c1 201 11801 2472 390 0
c2 0 554 2262 1718 0
c3 0 88 398 821 0
c4 0 27 191 681 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56585 3416 65 9 0
c1 385 10827 3426 1055 0
c2 0 728 1106 1432 0
c3 0 255 428 355 0
c4 0 91 333 761 0

Date: 2023-11-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53322 3562 46 23 0
c1 279 9824 3433 612 0
c2 0 673 1853 1792 0
c3 0 128 324 762 0
c4 0 8 126 328 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53039 3845 79 36 0
c1 556 9220 3909 1268 0
c2 5 764 1057 1325 0
c3 1 319 479 471 0
c4 0 47 258 417 0

Date: 2023-11-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 60700 3147 72 20 0
c1 421 9902 3488 729 0
c2 0 840 2144 1772 0
c3 0 99 293 381 0
c4 0 10 155 300 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 60506 3383 91 33 0
c1 600 9534 3788 1128 0
c2 11 814 1501 1295 0
c3 4 230 524 358 0
c4 0 37 248 388 0


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