Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2023-03-16

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2023-03-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50064 1420 15 47 0
c1 900 3282 495 81 0
c2 9 1887 1842 1147 0
c3 0 706 2295 2641 0
c4 0 117 1165 2934 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-03-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51537 1148 15 62 0
c1 645 2914 362 73 0
c2 6 1837 2628 949 0
c3 0 260 1880 2719 0
c4 0 45 763 2648 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-03-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 45874 1292 19 54 0
c1 561 3017 439 130 0
c2 6 2005 2576 935 0
c3 0 409 2249 2416 0
c4 0 129 1015 2466 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-03-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 47701 1444 30 53 0
c1 334 2938 628 97 0
c2 2 1625 2695 1034 0
c3 0 299 2024 2832 0
c4 0 71 1249 3533 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 47652 1436 27 53 0
c1 383 2935 621 98 0
c2 2 1626 2697 1043 0
c3 0 309 2032 2836 0
c4 0 71 1249 3519 0

Date: 2023-03-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49523 1578 21 54 0
c1 441 2952 530 134 0
c2 19 1655 2354 1028 0
c3 2 401 1774 2889 0
c4 0 373 2020 4136 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49493 1596 21 55 0
c1 471 2902 521 139 0
c2 17 1665 2348 1040 0
c3 4 420 1776 2859 0
c4 0 376 2033 4148 0

Date: 2023-03-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50898 1492 20 15 0
c1 227 2931 393 69 0
c2 18 1366 2922 1072 0
c3 2 385 2028 2828 0
c4 0 394 1894 4312 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50776 1465 32 20 0
c1 343 2554 512 125 0
c2 25 1621 2527 971 0
c3 1 481 1983 2708 0
c4 0 447 2203 4472 0

Date: 2023-03-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 45448 1486 33 22 0
c1 231 2513 420 83 0
c2 0 1272 2863 1047 0
c3 0 520 2220 3294 0
c4 0 235 1794 4898 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 45458 1541 43 22 0
c1 221 2266 511 119 0
c2 0 1287 2497 1111 0
c3 0 607 2126 2953 0
c4 0 325 2153 5139 0

Date: 2023-03-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 48133 1474 44 21 0
c1 234 2452 392 71 0
c2 0 1421 2765 1038 0
c3 0 623 2626 3016 0
c4 0 226 1892 4572 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 48162 1549 62 23 0
c1 205 2214 537 138 0
c2 0 1432 2522 1032 0
c3 0 645 2272 2744 0
c4 0 356 2326 4781 0


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