Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2023-03-09

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2023-03-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 48067 1166 18 7 0
c1 493 3856 421 125 0
c2 0 1725 1598 619 0
c3 0 554 2304 3182 0
c4 0 199 875 2109 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-03-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 49121 1126 15 47 0
c1 611 3942 785 66 0
c2 7 1629 1809 1085 0
c3 0 394 2273 2689 0
c4 0 110 817 2329 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-03-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 45717 1130 9 62 0
c1 506 2913 909 127 0
c2 13 1507 1681 1112 0
c3 0 793 2178 2914 0
c4 0 263 1369 3235 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-03-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 46156 1229 13 56 0
c1 909 3281 550 83 0
c2 6 1922 1597 1064 0
c3 0 936 2332 2705 0
c4 0 176 1360 3030 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 46144 1238 13 57 0
c1 919 3270 556 83 0
c2 8 1925 1609 1064 0
c3 0 927 2288 2710 0
c4 0 184 1386 3024 0

Date: 2023-03-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 48390 1512 19 52 0
c1 946 2992 617 100 0
c2 6 1768 2006 1111 0
c3 0 549 2247 2728 0
c4 0 76 1043 2889 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 48354 1469 18 51 0
c1 982 3039 631 97 0
c2 6 1748 1980 1134 0
c3 0 566 2260 2698 0
c4 0 75 1043 2900 0

Date: 2023-03-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 47510 1144 17 58 0
c1 717 3066 357 126 0
c2 12 1947 2254 1006 0
c3 0 340 1745 2604 0
c4 0 94 811 2508 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 47243 1127 20 59 0
c1 981 2827 426 133 0
c2 15 1948 1685 914 0
c3 0 589 2012 2540 0
c4 0 100 1041 2656 0

Date: 2023-03-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 50060 1592 32 55 0
c1 306 2956 622 102 0
c2 3 1862 2911 926 0
c3 0 348 2308 2498 0
c4 0 90 1125 3659 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 50034 1549 46 59 0
c1 335 2689 687 206 0
c2 0 1826 2169 963 0
c3 0 668 2740 2115 0
c4 0 116 1356 3897 0

Date: 2023-03-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 46631 1149 20 60 0
c1 326 2712 514 70 0
c2 5 1582 2496 937 0
c3 0 280 1954 2565 0
c4 0 196 1714 3881 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 46364 1113 30 63 0
c1 588 2417 555 190 0
c2 10 1668 1915 804 0
c3 0 464 2179 2322 0
c4 0 257 2019 4134 0


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