Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2023-03-02

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2023-02-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 48876 1346 14 4 0
c1 869 3908 673 25 0
c2 37 1717 2177 839 0
c3 0 412 2009 4066 0
c4 0 152 960 3178 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-02-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51525 1688 5 0 0
c1 954 3926 487 59 0
c2 55 1637 2240 549 0
c3 10 648 1599 3933 0
c4 0 249 871 2512 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-02-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50009 1941 10 38 0
c1 822 3797 609 122 0
c2 22 1750 1977 755 0
c3 1 723 1518 3660 0
c4 0 403 893 2128 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-03-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50686 1505 9 25 0
c1 568 3232 258 112 0
c2 4 1724 1862 724 0
c3 0 674 2109 3438 0
c4 0 262 963 2135 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50680 1499 9 26 0
c1 572 3247 260 116 0
c2 6 1719 1843 716 0
c3 0 668 2100 3433 0
c4 0 264 989 2143 0

Date: 2023-03-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49778 1144 11 49 0
c1 476 3664 528 93 0
c2 5 1663 1616 716 0
c3 0 557 2648 3116 0
c4 0 181 927 2375 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49779 1175 13 52 0
c1 476 3620 552 102 0
c2 4 1693 1590 689 0
c3 0 532 2621 3129 0
c4 0 189 954 2377 0

Date: 2023-03-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 47900 1186 12 49 0
c1 580 3812 950 88 0
c2 3 1639 1685 1143 0
c3 0 566 2254 3038 0
c4 0 158 1093 2654 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 47993 1323 12 50 0
c1 480 3235 666 142 0
c2 10 1760 1470 815 0
c3 0 791 2520 3267 0
c4 0 252 1326 2698 0

Date: 2023-03-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 45985 1235 10 67 0
c1 805 3570 652 91 0
c2 12 1767 1618 1162 0
c3 0 747 2004 2964 0
c4 0 255 1327 3661 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 46071 1383 11 69 0
c1 687 3010 485 186 0
c2 44 1779 1287 945 0
c3 0 934 2333 3361 0
c4 0 468 1495 3384 0

Date: 2023-03-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50064 1420 15 47 0
c1 900 3282 495 81 0
c2 9 1887 1842 1147 0
c3 0 706 2295 2641 0
c4 0 117 1165 2934 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49974 1491 15 49 0
c1 968 2776 334 103 0
c2 31 1879 1637 879 0
c3 0 976 2537 3085 0
c4 0 290 1289 2734 0


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