Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2023-02-23

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2023-02-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50804 1332 1 0 0
c1 1032 3157 242 46 0
c2 104 1947 2271 1165 0
c3 0 903 2676 3645 0
c4 0 212 682 1611 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-02-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51601 1513 17 4 0
c1 593 4768 344 28 0
c2 17 1403 2577 934 0
c3 0 667 2233 4028 0
c4 0 132 503 1498 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-02-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 48761 1195 20 6 0
c1 629 4487 380 35 0
c2 7 1230 2300 1232 0
c3 0 315 1928 4356 0
c4 0 38 580 1734 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-02-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50371 1625 20 2 0
c1 839 4260 550 42 0
c2 13 1795 2216 967 0
c3 0 424 1805 4160 0
c4 0 191 859 2659 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50365 1624 20 2 0
c1 844 4244 556 47 0
c2 14 1813 2218 964 0
c3 0 418 1792 4162 0
c4 0 196 864 2655 0

Date: 2023-02-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50179 1362 16 14 0
c1 1021 3251 494 83 0
c2 77 1661 2184 778 0
c3 2 582 1704 3905 0
c4 0 172 924 3365 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50200 1364 15 14 0
c1 1000 3304 503 89 0
c2 76 1612 2154 798 0
c3 3 566 1721 3856 0
c4 0 182 929 3388 0

Date: 2023-02-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50882 1651 12 28 0
c1 945 3725 493 51 0
c2 51 1941 1811 594 0
c3 4 770 1720 3507 0
c4 0 291 899 2104 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50766 1584 13 29 0
c1 1000 3680 600 49 0
c2 106 1842 1699 797 0
c3 10 877 1799 3179 0
c4 0 395 824 2230 0

Date: 2023-03-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49106 1440 11 30 0
c1 701 4199 438 112 0
c2 7 1774 2110 744 0
c3 0 758 1893 3785 0
c4 0 378 838 2193 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 48915 1357 20 32 0
c1 843 4255 641 154 0
c2 54 1484 1899 983 0
c3 2 977 1836 3433 0
c4 0 476 894 2262 0

Date: 2023-03-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 48067 1166 18 7 0
c1 493 3856 421 125 0
c2 0 1725 1598 619 0
c3 0 554 2304 3182 0
c4 0 199 875 2109 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 47825 1110 29 10 0
c1 684 3673 601 134 0
c2 50 1721 1158 910 0
c3 1 773 2413 2675 0
c4 0 223 1015 2313 0


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