Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2023-02-09

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2023-02-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50352 1331 12 2 0
c1 495 4246 906 139 0
c2 34 711 3101 1704 0
c3 8 259 1540 3252 0
c4 0 98 551 2073 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-02-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50827 1526 6 0 0
c1 494 3402 519 129 0
c2 38 1294 2940 1416 0
c3 14 330 1775 3491 0
c4 1 92 461 1617 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-02-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49368 1179 1 0 0
c1 1079 3308 482 73 0
c2 94 1603 2761 1400 0
c3 12 525 2072 3519 0
c4 0 267 535 1833 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-02-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53030 1356 5 3 0
c1 1395 3027 349 83 0
c2 215 1819 2680 1156 0
c3 31 445 2340 3824 0
c4 5 249 529 1523 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53043 1343 5 3 0
c1 1381 3029 322 76 0
c2 211 1832 2713 1175 0
c3 37 445 2333 3809 0
c4 4 247 530 1526 0

Date: 2023-02-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51555 1388 1 0 0
c1 1316 3536 500 73 0
c2 157 1775 2853 1039 0
c3 35 502 2319 3675 0
c4 11 234 532 1543 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51552 1371 2 0 0
c1 1317 3516 491 78 0
c2 158 1813 2874 1015 0
c3 35 504 2300 3675 0
c4 12 231 538 1562 0

Date: 2023-02-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52090 1688 3 1 0
c1 657 3988 295 30 0
c2 106 1577 3309 1181 0
c3 8 474 2362 4210 0
c4 0 101 530 1485 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51827 1680 4 2 0
c1 867 3820 440 100 0
c2 126 1645 3034 1091 0
c3 29 405 2376 4081 0
c4 12 278 645 1633 0

Date: 2023-02-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49850 1416 3 0 0
c1 957 3924 185 38 0
c2 138 1691 2524 1553 0
c3 2 691 2012 3623 0
c4 0 158 648 1560 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49568 1416 4 1 0
c1 1228 3680 224 90 0
c2 136 1871 2395 1230 0
c3 12 510 2060 3698 0
c4 3 403 689 1755 0

Date: 2023-02-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50804 1332 1 0 0
c1 1032 3157 242 46 0
c2 104 1947 2271 1165 0
c3 0 903 2676 3645 0
c4 0 212 682 1611 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50599 1389 1 0 0
c1 1097 2802 199 81 0
c2 240 2112 2400 989 0
c3 3 807 2467 3520 0
c4 1 441 805 1877 0


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