Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2023-02-02

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2023-01-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53879 1410 2 0 0
c1 645 3900 435 89 0
c2 42 1928 2594 1669 0
c3 11 368 2031 3603 0
c4 1 254 562 1547 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52092 1426 3 2 0
c1 701 3874 714 123 0
c2 9 657 2888 1687 0
c3 4 262 1408 4043 0
c4 0 45 278 1740 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51072 1216 5 0 0
c1 657 4476 973 165 0
c2 10 749 2952 1662 0
c3 2 278 1198 3521 0
c4 0 55 489 2175 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-02-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53080 1632 16 5 0
c1 568 4530 1026 133 0
c2 19 794 2894 1671 0
c3 5 251 1414 3130 0
c4 0 73 504 1948 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53080 1641 15 5 0
c1 570 4514 996 137 0
c2 17 802 2919 1663 0
c3 5 244 1428 3151 0
c4 0 79 496 1931 0

Date: 2023-02-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52613 1407 14 11 0
c1 543 3653 757 189 0
c2 62 890 2967 1600 0
c3 17 275 1750 3091 0
c4 0 94 423 1726 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52598 1412 17 14 0
c1 557 3609 748 201 0
c2 60 917 2964 1587 0
c3 20 279 1741 3091 0
c4 0 102 441 1724 0

Date: 2023-02-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52069 1291 0 0 0
c1 840 3392 623 82 0
c2 52 1514 2722 1435 0
c3 7 509 1859 3645 0
c4 1 191 578 1704 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51822 1244 0 0 0
c1 1062 3383 828 250 0
c2 80 1548 2489 1638 0
c3 5 484 1809 3260 0
c4 0 238 656 1718 0

Date: 2023-02-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52458 1625 1 0 0
c1 1232 3515 342 69 0
c2 180 1732 2625 1191 0
c3 16 523 2187 3699 0
c4 1 311 514 1511 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52163 1715 3 0 0
c1 1431 3364 448 156 0
c2 270 1740 2373 1391 0
c3 23 612 2257 3428 0
c4 0 275 588 1495 0

Date: 2023-02-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50224 1400 9 0 0
c1 1389 3356 555 89 0
c2 202 1666 2787 1149 0
c3 40 423 2322 3675 0
c4 4 232 537 1642 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49944 1432 13 0 0
c1 1487 3150 685 146 0
c2 372 1779 2514 1281 0
c3 56 591 2365 3389 0
c4 0 125 633 1739 0


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