Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2023-01-26

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2023-01-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53149 1271 7 1 0
c1 1371 3772 216 51 0
c2 94 2090 2395 1089 0
c3 37 557 1906 3364 0
c4 0 225 376 880 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 47561 968 1 0 0
c1 1003 3531 177 36 0
c2 34 2030 3125 1323 0
c3 10 368 1538 3566 0
c4 2 122 384 1152 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52276 1146 1 2 0
c1 951 4147 179 40 0
c2 18 2488 2640 1082 0
c3 6 657 1901 3260 0
c4 6 259 528 1504 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53658 1730 1 0 0
c1 652 4428 405 55 0
c2 15 2052 2802 1264 0
c3 7 465 1852 3609 0
c4 1 257 561 1465 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53652 1711 1 0 0
c1 658 4459 404 58 0
c2 15 2047 2793 1280 0
c3 7 444 1864 3583 0
c4 1 271 559 1472 0

Date: 2023-01-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52085 1399 7 7 0
c1 758 3886 545 158 0
c2 53 1344 2824 1500 0
c3 27 292 1852 3970 0
c4 2 242 478 1817 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52076 1396 6 6 0
c1 770 3875 542 161 0
c2 50 1355 2798 1511 0
c3 26 287 1870 3939 0
c4 3 250 490 1835 0

Date: 2023-01-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53722 1277 9 1 0
c1 665 3890 1007 213 0
c2 5 701 2816 1594 0
c3 1 245 1401 3847 0
c4 0 42 382 1873 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53540 1222 12 3 0
c1 739 3378 729 206 0
c2 65 1080 2771 1419 0
c3 44 243 1548 3937 0
c4 5 232 555 1963 0

Date: 2023-02-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49251 1444 3 0 0
c1 579 4398 906 124 0
c2 16 841 2692 1665 0
c3 3 234 1387 3466 0
c4 0 43 471 2027 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49067 1556 12 0 0
c1 673 3747 661 134 0
c2 69 1170 2555 1521 0
c3 28 280 1634 3462 0
c4 12 207 597 2165 0

Date: 2023-02-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50352 1331 12 2 0
c1 495 4246 906 139 0
c2 34 711 3101 1704 0
c3 8 259 1540 3252 0
c4 0 98 551 2073 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50039 1473 22 4 0
c1 682 3615 893 198 0
c2 75 1009 2662 1520 0
c3 83 276 1854 3169 0
c4 10 272 679 2279 0


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