Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2023-01-12

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2023-01-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52045 1183 55 2 0
c1 848 3669 1394 385 0
c2 73 1600 3107 2042 0
c3 65 556 1931 3049 0
c4 26 389 450 2117 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51683 1266 47 14 0
c1 691 3569 895 275 0
c2 33 1136 3808 2568 0
c3 14 227 1276 2534 0
c4 3 157 240 1036 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52938 1176 19 41 0
c1 1102 3032 882 219 0
c2 38 977 3410 2489 0
c3 3 239 1265 2701 0
c4 0 156 276 856 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49765 882 21 25 0
c1 1292 2963 651 283 0
c2 35 1355 3722 2263 0
c3 12 214 1352 3316 0
c4 0 157 271 813 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49761 895 21 28 0
c1 1293 2938 666 291 0
c2 40 1373 3707 2238 0
c3 10 205 1348 3336 0
c4 0 160 275 807 0

Date: 2023-01-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50655 993 19 8 0
c1 1302 3237 640 232 0
c2 57 1318 3438 2362 0
c3 39 204 1221 3337 0
c4 20 207 313 922 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50598 1022 23 8 0
c1 1359 3212 651 233 0
c2 60 1318 3423 2376 0
c3 37 209 1214 3331 0
c4 19 198 320 913 0

Date: 2023-01-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51414 1211 5 8 0
c1 1083 3704 326 52 0
c2 119 1615 3744 1691 0
c3 19 321 1509 3800 0
c4 13 159 208 898 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51085 1222 17 10 0
c1 1404 3660 635 159 0
c2 81 1578 3699 1998 0
c3 60 297 1191 3445 0
c4 18 253 250 837 0

Date: 2023-01-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52623 1224 6 7 0
c1 1247 3426 251 79 0
c2 60 1516 3504 1657 0
c3 34 280 1494 3630 0
c4 2 172 317 886 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52323 1288 12 15 0
c1 1468 3485 578 188 0
c2 97 1325 3477 1836 0
c3 62 270 1187 3383 0
c4 16 250 318 837 0

Date: 2023-01-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53149 1271 7 1 0
c1 1371 3772 216 51 0
c2 94 2090 2395 1089 0
c3 37 557 1906 3364 0
c4 0 225 376 880 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52865 1285 19 0 0
c1 1637 3847 413 131 0
c2 96 2018 2348 1273 0
c3 50 599 1792 3136 0
c4 3 166 328 845 0


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