Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2023-01-05

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2022-12-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52532 1326 144 12 0
c1 1557 4685 970 159 0
c2 67 1601 3256 1911 0
c3 47 478 1395 2818 0
c4 8 483 570 1282 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53113 1338 45 14 0
c1 1200 5145 934 100 0
c2 158 1434 3516 2306 0
c3 82 554 1418 3194 0
c4 72 359 325 900 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49011 1242 29 6 0
c1 1081 4406 1051 249 0
c2 100 1482 3329 2096 0
c3 95 551 1304 2660 0
c4 46 411 324 1849 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51483 1339 59 3 0
c1 981 4064 1179 332 0
c2 101 1512 2887 2121 0
c3 66 534 1660 2830 0
c4 29 348 354 2582 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51515 1356 60 5 0
c1 944 4039 1205 338 0
c2 101 1525 2864 2125 0
c3 72 538 1654 2818 0
c4 28 339 356 2582 0

Date: 2023-01-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51051 1158 61 15 0
c1 933 3190 891 233 0
c2 75 1627 3140 1774 0
c3 62 585 1963 2966 0
c4 24 384 388 1354 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51060 1143 61 16 0
c1 928 3200 895 230 0
c2 77 1644 3150 1755 0
c3 59 587 1947 3004 0
c4 21 370 390 1337 0

Date: 2023-01-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 48680 1018 25 39 0
c1 951 3396 1240 237 0
c2 43 1111 4021 2582 0
c3 22 226 1211 2966 0
c4 5 166 278 804 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 48356 979 29 65 0
c1 1129 2702 1498 468 0
c2 95 1450 3110 2013 0
c3 84 448 1761 3135 0
c4 37 338 377 947 0

Date: 2023-01-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51309 978 23 34 0
c1 1207 2959 741 176 0
c2 35 1234 3970 2340 0
c3 4 258 1515 3058 0
c4 0 161 278 780 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51073 1018 35 53 0
c1 1289 2447 942 406 0
c2 75 1410 3090 1707 0
c3 100 393 2080 3211 0
c4 18 322 380 1011 0

Date: 2023-01-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52384 1281 21 9 0
c1 1388 3175 671 234 0
c2 53 1369 3460 2361 0
c3 26 208 1260 3131 0
c4 9 182 280 846 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52098 1348 27 31 0
c1 1543 2536 857 352 0
c2 75 1576 2483 1711 0
c3 98 391 1915 3320 0
c4 46 364 410 1167 0


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