Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2022-12-29

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2022-12-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53549 1548 97 11 0
c1 669 5290 1706 688 0
c2 12 1500 3012 2369 0
c3 8 224 1460 2821 0
c4 4 230 573 1208 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-12-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55120 1369 147 14 0
c1 712 5210 967 155 0
c2 11 1631 3187 2288 0
c3 11 156 1312 2998 0
c4 2 172 426 1002 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-12-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52570 1200 174 7 0
c1 997 5860 834 124 0
c2 24 1522 3613 2338 0
c3 30 262 1387 3005 0
c4 9 259 529 866 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-12-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52022 1438 164 15 0
c1 1404 5448 992 156 0
c2 41 1481 3471 2440 0
c3 22 397 1467 2835 0
c4 2 401 486 755 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52050 1451 171 16 0
c1 1375 5447 998 182 0
c2 43 1470 3450 2381 0
c3 22 389 1477 2876 0
c4 1 408 484 746 0

Date: 2022-12-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52751 1808 159 26 0
c1 1776 4862 1365 225 0
c2 88 1312 3448 2308 0
c3 86 538 1201 2579 0
c4 54 431 500 1365 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52754 1830 177 26 0
c1 1766 4849 1358 248 0
c2 99 1302 3414 2285 0
c3 89 537 1225 2573 0
c4 47 433 499 1371 0

Date: 2023-01-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52932 1413 31 2 0
c1 1031 4140 561 69 0
c2 91 1454 3359 2030 0
c3 81 563 1350 2857 0
c4 47 398 347 1006 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52540 1470 77 22 0
c1 1373 4124 700 141 0
c2 87 1431 3146 1940 0
c3 121 522 1418 2814 0
c4 61 421 307 1047 0

Date: 2023-01-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51658 1152 32 2 0
c1 948 3909 1396 304 0
c2 104 1519 3208 1883 0
c3 76 528 1507 2892 0
c4 37 383 429 2164 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51256 1265 97 42 0
c1 1237 3943 1501 367 0
c2 124 1382 3000 1637 0
c3 124 453 1613 3032 0
c4 82 448 361 2167 0

Date: 2023-01-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52045 1183 55 2 0
c1 848 3669 1394 385 0
c2 73 1600 3107 2042 0
c3 65 556 1931 3049 0
c4 26 389 450 2117 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51614 1119 124 38 0
c1 1150 3815 1569 510 0
c2 85 1586 2775 1898 0
c3 129 417 2073 3093 0
c4 79 460 396 2056 0


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