Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2022-12-22

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2022-12-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55469 1977 105 49 0
c1 1118 8025 1425 101 0
c2 5 1662 3572 2253 0
c3 4 158 1318 2372 0
c4 0 138 327 703 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-12-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52838 1629 98 27 0
c1 826 7252 1575 322 0
c2 9 1514 3432 1906 0
c3 7 330 1687 2775 0
c4 0 161 465 780 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-12-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55342 1483 89 16 0
c1 535 5818 1242 298 0
c2 6 1362 3538 1959 0
c3 5 354 1285 3223 0
c4 0 180 472 972 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-12-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53865 1597 98 13 0
c1 484 6514 1789 522 0
c2 16 1455 3194 2064 0
c3 3 280 1318 2594 0
c4 4 230 657 1123 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53885 1609 95 14 0
c1 465 6487 1766 524 0
c2 15 1469 3215 2059 0
c3 4 277 1329 2598 0
c4 3 234 651 1121 0

Date: 2022-12-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53385 1471 135 25 0
c1 1127 5515 1602 503 0
c2 18 1625 2864 2385 0
c3 11 204 1558 2804 0
c4 5 160 553 1179 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53325 1374 133 21 0
c1 1185 5602 1582 498 0
c2 20 1629 2873 2397 0
c3 11 203 1566 2793 0
c4 5 167 558 1187 0

Date: 2022-12-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53300 1394 174 15 0
c1 705 6109 968 205 0
c2 16 1570 3503 2630 0
c3 16 154 1436 2799 0
c4 6 198 445 956 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52965 1374 198 22 0
c1 1003 5949 1179 705 0
c2 29 1654 3118 2095 0
c3 31 242 1501 2670 0
c4 15 206 530 1113 0

Date: 2022-12-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51485 1245 173 8 0
c1 1182 4571 800 203 0
c2 36 1289 3446 2201 0
c3 26 338 1298 2740 0
c4 3 340 501 837 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51145 1282 216 16 0
c1 1418 4368 992 529 0
c2 79 1362 3107 1896 0
c3 64 409 1366 2670 0
c4 26 362 537 878 0

Date: 2022-12-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52532 1326 144 12 0
c1 1557 4685 970 159 0
c2 67 1601 3256 1911 0
c3 47 478 1395 2818 0
c4 8 483 570 1282 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52236 1301 164 23 0
c1 1585 4525 1115 220 0
c2 289 1547 2966 1920 0
c3 79 668 1493 2681 0
c4 22 532 597 1338 0


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