Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2022-12-08

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2022-12-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 63358 2093 19 57 0
c1 1582 5193 1278 95 0
c2 14 2297 3419 1973 0
c3 0 454 749 2156 0
c4 0 266 434 1671 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-12-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 64273 2361 31 7 0
c1 1575 5741 1087 90 0
c2 37 2664 2994 1526 0
c3 11 409 920 2234 0
c4 0 67 484 678 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-12-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 58471 2291 29 20 0
c1 1512 6798 1469 370 0
c2 23 2051 3123 2001 0
c3 3 326 1402 2205 0
c4 0 33 271 743 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-12-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53976 2320 53 10 0
c1 912 7545 1644 706 0
c2 15 1179 3163 2264 0
c3 0 244 1230 2513 0
c4 0 76 457 1148 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53948 2408 60 11 0
c1 944 7465 1674 708 0
c2 11 1157 3102 2246 0
c3 0 261 1251 2519 0
c4 0 73 460 1157 0

Date: 2022-12-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56137 2303 61 4 0
c1 808 8008 1056 424 0
c2 44 1158 2999 2266 0
c3 2 199 824 2269 0
c4 0 126 596 1148 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56110 2456 64 4 0
c1 834 7850 1064 427 0
c2 45 1158 2972 2275 0
c3 2 202 834 2257 0
c4 0 128 602 1148 0

Date: 2022-12-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54230 1774 59 24 0
c1 454 8129 793 93 0
c2 2 1430 3222 2196 0
c3 2 271 1059 2661 0
c4 0 116 421 909 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53962 1996 80 30 0
c1 717 7900 1108 310 0
c2 5 1462 2886 2454 0
c3 4 226 973 2190 0
c4 0 136 507 899 0

Date: 2022-12-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54991 1735 83 33 0
c1 760 8808 1013 142 0
c2 8 1608 3161 1971 0
c3 2 213 1219 2108 0
c4 0 89 225 730 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54660 2012 105 45 0
c1 1089 8725 1210 374 0
c2 8 1400 2917 2140 0
c3 4 196 1158 1692 0
c4 0 120 311 733 0

Date: 2022-12-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55469 1977 105 49 0
c1 1118 8025 1425 101 0
c2 5 1662 3572 2253 0
c3 4 158 1318 2372 0
c4 0 138 327 703 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55089 2106 133 59 0
c1 1483 7828 1785 257 0
c2 19 1584 3217 2601 0
c3 3 257 1194 1785 0
c4 2 185 418 776 0


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