Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2022-12-01

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2022-11-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 65880 2181 25 36 0
c1 973 6395 1144 134 0
c2 2 1228 3236 2779 0
c3 0 139 641 1799 0
c4 0 54 364 433 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-11-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 64794 1926 28 29 0
c1 692 6511 883 71 0
c2 3 888 3326 3006 0
c3 0 269 568 1724 0
c4 0 493 614 512 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-11-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 65754 1985 18 14 0
c1 1271 6153 842 117 0
c2 18 1244 3232 2463 0
c3 1 458 572 1633 0
c4 0 255 578 1161 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-12-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 64335 1962 21 47 0
c1 1623 5476 990 132 0
c2 16 1821 2946 2722 0
c3 4 519 624 1875 0
c4 0 782 586 1339 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 64459 2075 23 47 0
c1 1499 5357 995 138 0
c2 16 1830 2943 2696 0
c3 4 510 615 1882 0
c4 0 788 591 1352 0

Date: 2022-12-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 63400 2312 31 18 0
c1 1788 5721 1056 110 0
c2 17 1991 3717 1985 0
c3 0 511 708 1988 0
c4 0 266 672 861 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 63376 2427 31 18 0
c1 1816 5606 1064 132 0
c2 13 2008 3708 1981 0
c3 0 492 702 1975 0
c4 0 268 679 856 0

Date: 2022-12-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 59108 2215 31 14 0
c1 1465 5870 1237 289 0
c2 35 2561 3184 1418 0
c3 11 402 1349 2308 0
c4 0 40 273 777 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 58658 2222 47 21 0
c1 1946 5723 1149 282 0
c2 11 2717 3304 1670 0
c3 4 332 1225 2050 0
c4 0 94 349 783 0

Date: 2022-12-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56841 1798 46 15 0
c1 900 6757 1256 416 0
c2 23 1680 2988 2459 0
c3 0 222 1189 2497 0
c4 0 54 225 779 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56643 1794 60 17 0
c1 1105 6732 1231 372 0
c2 9 1637 3031 2609 0
c3 5 236 1057 2359 0
c4 2 112 325 809 0

Date: 2022-12-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55899 2403 59 9 0
c1 857 8179 1432 570 0
c2 18 1345 3373 2136 0
c3 2 194 1011 2417 0
c4 0 112 549 1119 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55415 2581 77 13 0
c1 1350 7809 1324 516 0
c2 5 1405 3482 2380 0
c3 4 215 963 2221 0
c4 2 223 578 1121 0


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