Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2022-11-17

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2022-11-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 70736 2035 15 1 0
c1 1015 7713 3162 672 0
c2 12 1371 4122 3387 0
c3 0 221 862 1434 0
c4 0 14 242 602 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-11-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 70783 2281 12 0 0
c1 822 7823 2076 193 0
c2 0 1049 4217 3163 0
c3 0 89 654 1348 0
c4 0 7 166 345 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-11-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 69018 2072 7 0 0
c1 824 6841 2244 567 0
c2 1 1151 3396 3225 0
c3 0 185 509 1475 0
c4 0 96 280 418 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-11-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 66209 2012 12 2 0
c1 793 7199 1461 451 0
c2 9 1340 3171 3237 0
c3 0 249 812 1710 0
c4 0 73 277 316 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 66219 2043 12 2 0
c1 781 7146 1463 457 0
c2 11 1356 3173 3216 0
c3 0 250 808 1721 0
c4 0 78 277 320 0

Date: 2022-11-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 67159 2101 7 0 0
c1 770 7284 1320 331 0
c2 5 1336 2352 3864 0
c3 0 417 1159 2143 0
c4 0 107 267 312 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 67176 2110 9 0 0
c1 752 7322 1287 331 0
c2 6 1286 2396 3876 0
c3 0 416 1157 2124 0
c4 0 111 256 319 0

Date: 2022-11-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 68131 2135 13 8 0
c1 651 7339 1185 152 0
c2 3 1087 2472 3062 0
c3 0 232 805 2232 0
c4 0 117 284 450 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 67868 2158 23 8 0
c1 907 6968 1313 275 0
c2 8 1255 2402 3550 0
c3 2 352 690 1660 0
c4 0 177 331 411 0

Date: 2022-11-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 67272 2348 19 29 0
c1 704 6811 1313 214 0
c2 3 1026 3144 2987 0
c3 0 111 643 2000 0
c4 0 35 206 561 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 67031 2240 29 28 0
c1 937 6527 1405 383 0
c2 9 1282 3107 3221 0
c3 2 230 526 1562 0
c4 0 52 258 597 0

Date: 2022-11-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 65880 2181 25 36 0
c1 973 6395 1144 134 0
c2 2 1228 3236 2779 0
c3 0 139 641 1799 0
c4 0 54 364 433 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 65561 2096 29 34 0
c1 1280 5967 1294 266 0
c2 14 1546 3129 3077 0
c3 0 312 519 1344 0
c4 0 76 439 460 0


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