Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2022-11-10

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2022-11-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 71459 2326 23 8 0
c1 1060 10983 3234 318 0
c2 51 1041 4490 2093 0
c3 37 211 539 1052 0
c4 0 39 241 433 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-11-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 72423 2232 4 1 0
c1 470 11250 2166 48 0
c2 11 1878 5068 1831 0
c3 0 137 925 1501 0
c4 0 8 188 573 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-11-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 72237 2076 6 1 0
c1 757 9867 2673 170 0
c2 2 1782 5213 2633 0
c3 0 145 1020 1766 0
c4 0 7 213 627 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-11-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 70630 2146 12 0 0
c1 953 8213 3143 584 0
c2 7 1534 4884 2994 0
c3 0 216 1114 1544 0
c4 0 20 297 667 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 70630 2140 10 0 0
c1 952 8207 3142 595 0
c2 8 1549 4850 2977 0
c3 0 212 1150 1554 0
c4 0 21 298 663 0

Date: 2022-11-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 68909 2113 15 4 0
c1 1102 7713 2694 707 0
c2 2 1489 3672 3412 0
c3 0 202 796 1281 0
c4 0 7 197 508 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 68887 2088 14 3 0
c1 1125 7734 2661 690 0
c2 1 1498 3653 3400 0
c3 0 195 850 1290 0
c4 0 9 196 529 0

Date: 2022-11-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 68005 2218 5 0 0
c1 751 7180 2400 392 0
c2 0 1179 3768 3226 0
c3 0 156 527 1388 0
c4 0 70 260 379 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 67720 2221 3 0 0
c1 1035 6731 2459 830 0
c2 1 1487 3508 2934 0
c3 0 262 705 1146 0
c4 0 102 285 475 0

Date: 2022-11-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 70434 2062 12 0 0
c1 900 7132 1595 396 0
c2 7 1254 3509 3231 0
c3 0 147 571 1588 0
c4 0 30 160 313 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 70107 2076 21 2 0
c1 1227 6593 1718 651 0
c2 7 1643 3363 3028 0
c3 0 266 509 1489 0
c4 0 47 236 358 0

Date: 2022-11-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 48897 2125 4 0 0
c1 922 7372 1090 418 0
c2 7 1313 2744 3510 0
c3 0 347 1021 1914 0
c4 0 61 218 319 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 48536 2090 12 4 0
c1 1271 6402 997 386 0
c2 19 2173 2912 3706 0
c3 0 438 857 1673 0
c4 0 115 299 392 0


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