Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2022-11-03

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2022-10-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 74239 3007 19 0 0
c1 835 11408 3296 729 0
c2 63 907 1905 1287 0
c3 66 545 547 410 0
c4 24 177 341 512 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-10-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 75163 2288 22 0 0
c1 692 11994 2258 142 0
c2 56 917 3615 1610 0
c3 28 187 536 1161 0
c4 0 44 222 808 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-11-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 73051 2876 24 1 0
c1 674 11688 2385 235 0
c2 58 912 3854 1992 0
c3 45 220 542 1166 0
c4 0 54 307 461 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-11-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 74032 2395 22 6 0
c1 846 10885 3231 306 0
c2 52 978 3969 2151 0
c3 35 228 489 968 0
c4 0 41 237 386 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 73897 2636 21 7 0
c1 984 10666 3261 325 0
c2 51 963 3929 2127 0
c3 33 221 503 972 0
c4 0 41 234 386 0

Date: 2022-11-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 72090 2337 21 6 0
c1 1207 11716 2683 279 0
c2 55 1438 4938 1870 0
c3 65 190 780 1170 0
c4 6 54 283 500 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 72096 2577 19 5 0
c1 1201 11431 2711 303 0
c2 57 1495 4908 1838 0
c3 63 181 794 1166 0
c4 6 51 273 513 0

Date: 2022-11-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 69716 2249 9 2 0
c1 635 10890 2246 69 0
c2 8 1872 5136 2026 0
c3 0 143 1015 1486 0
c4 0 6 210 545 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 69025 2373 18 3 0
c1 1279 10767 3186 292 0
c2 33 1749 4281 1902 0
c3 22 206 884 1474 0
c4 0 65 247 457 0

Date: 2022-11-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 70152 2112 8 1 0
c1 880 8887 3039 390 0
c2 2 1696 5428 2694 0
c3 0 162 1224 1706 0
c4 0 11 262 676 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 69572 2116 15 3 0
c1 1424 8488 4075 843 0
c2 26 1974 4179 2486 0
c3 12 227 1394 1560 0
c4 0 63 298 575 0

Date: 2022-11-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 70736 2035 15 1 0
c1 1015 7713 3162 672 0
c2 12 1371 4122 3387 0
c3 0 221 862 1434 0
c4 0 14 242 602 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 70386 2153 26 6 0
c1 1343 6972 3697 1463 0
c2 31 1974 3264 2542 0
c3 3 224 1180 1422 0
c4 0 31 236 663 0


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