Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2022-10-27

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2022-10-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 83363 3000 9 0 0
c1 1726 9484 2079 479 0
c2 37 909 934 865 0
c3 7 569 702 662 0
c4 0 115 267 426 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-10-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 81307 2778 6 1 0
c1 898 10890 1938 456 0
c2 16 1030 966 728 0
c3 1 451 599 588 0
c4 0 102 261 393 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-10-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 78876 3227 21 1 0
c1 937 11093 2964 455 0
c2 15 884 1637 962 0
c3 0 454 526 666 0
c4 0 71 264 455 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-10-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 72801 2964 20 0 0
c1 779 11146 3417 637 0
c2 42 968 1889 1128 0
c3 45 554 474 549 0
c4 15 140 325 509 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 72834 3026 20 0 0
c1 746 11081 3420 656 0
c2 43 965 1878 1103 0
c3 45 558 491 556 0
c4 14 142 316 508 0

Date: 2022-10-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 76267 2919 27 0 0
c1 899 11467 3385 741 0
c2 60 782 2175 1392 0
c3 67 484 542 468 0
c4 48 171 318 534 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 76270 3168 24 0 0
c1 897 11195 3385 733 0
c2 57 808 2168 1391 0
c3 71 480 556 477 0
c4 46 172 314 534 0

Date: 2022-10-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 74819 2697 21 0 0
c1 769 11924 2217 188 0
c2 63 934 3708 1782 0
c3 15 233 627 1120 0
c4 0 29 271 548 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 74721 3450 26 0 0
c1 801 10760 3140 957 0
c2 64 930 2776 1736 0
c3 69 538 553 470 0
c4 11 139 349 475 0

Date: 2022-11-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 73809 2816 19 7 0
c1 788 11067 2882 274 0
c2 58 991 3831 2099 0
c3 65 202 506 1113 0
c4 0 60 256 395 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 72928 3135 27 9 0
c1 1576 10472 3587 930 0
c2 83 1004 2971 1982 0
c3 94 377 556 442 0
c4 39 148 353 525 0

Date: 2022-11-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 71459 2326 23 8 0
c1 1060 10983 3234 318 0
c2 51 1041 4490 2093 0
c3 37 211 539 1052 0
c4 0 39 241 433 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 70603 2394 45 8 0
c1 1834 10544 4209 616 0
c2 51 1191 3331 2300 0
c3 88 351 624 461 0
c4 31 120 318 519 0


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