Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2022-10-20

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2022-10-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 85273 3138 10 0 0
c1 1164 8080 1264 104 0
c2 38 1103 1180 934 0
c3 29 788 1149 1172 0
c4 0 371 628 788 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-10-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 86384 2734 2 0 0
c1 984 9163 1194 353 0
c2 35 997 1050 1486 0
c3 14 843 1048 964 0
c4 4 282 570 632 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-10-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 82895 3006 0 0 0
c1 1182 9709 1560 227 0
c2 27 1148 1168 1659 0
c3 6 699 1113 1301 0
c4 0 214 440 692 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-10-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 82247 3056 5 0 0
c1 1730 9326 1765 486 0
c2 36 922 1022 1054 0
c3 5 599 932 812 0
c4 0 164 351 446 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 82315 3044 5 1 0
c1 1668 9291 1743 483 0
c2 31 943 1035 1019 0
c3 4 631 950 857 0
c4 0 158 342 438 0

Date: 2022-10-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 80713 3039 5 1 0
c1 1810 9981 1932 484 0
c2 43 1002 918 723 0
c3 9 531 599 655 0
c4 0 117 240 392 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 80716 3101 7 1 0
c1 1809 9881 1900 475 0
c2 42 1015 944 716 0
c3 8 568 614 681 0
c4 0 105 229 382 0

Date: 2022-10-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 81528 2992 18 2 0
c1 932 11049 2467 428 0
c2 13 994 1200 897 0
c3 0 458 508 619 0
c4 0 87 241 398 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 80945 3145 28 4 0
c1 1483 10785 2183 354 0
c2 39 1035 1472 934 0
c3 6 521 513 656 0
c4 0 94 238 396 0

Date: 2022-10-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 79112 3106 16 0 0
c1 885 11316 3123 413 0
c2 27 898 1821 1009 0
c3 7 514 521 595 0
c4 0 108 308 458 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 78456 3469 22 0 0
c1 1506 10840 2893 383 0
c2 47 974 2034 1017 0
c3 20 543 533 613 0
c4 2 116 307 462 0

Date: 2022-10-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 74239 3007 19 0 0
c1 835 11408 3296 729 0
c2 63 907 1905 1287 0
c3 66 545 547 410 0
c4 24 177 341 512 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 73699 3664 22 0 0
c1 1326 10643 3277 738 0
c2 46 976 1900 1275 0
c3 86 558 541 401 0
c4 70 203 368 524 0


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