Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2022-03-31

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2022-03-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51354 1962 57 45 0
c1 769 5122 344 105 0
c2 0 2799 2554 868 0
c3 0 876 2666 2961 0
c4 0 301 1729 4514 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51266 1801 31 20 0
c1 658 6037 903 139 0
c2 3 2122 2673 1296 0
c3 3 519 1634 3029 0
c4 0 380 1462 3869 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49900 1539 40 17 0
c1 441 5672 632 221 0
c2 1 2210 2328 1561 0
c3 0 626 1586 2731 0
c4 0 411 1693 3474 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49374 1772 38 25 0
c1 486 5548 592 211 0
c2 0 2476 2289 1466 0
c3 0 589 1710 2579 0
c4 0 389 1665 3085 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49347 1840 39 24 0
c1 513 5483 610 222 0
c2 0 2473 2275 1453 0
c3 0 590 1713 2573 0
c4 0 388 1657 3094 0

Date: 2022-04-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51690 1661 51 50 0
c1 516 5131 610 255 0
c2 0 2674 2104 1228 0
c3 0 677 1772 2316 0
c4 0 377 1679 3417 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51674 1662 51 50 0
c1 532 5120 617 251 0
c2 0 2687 2081 1229 0
c3 0 651 1771 2312 0
c4 0 400 1696 3424 0

Date: 2022-04-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52118 1514 47 61 0
c1 402 5653 460 149 0
c2 0 2651 2213 575 0
c3 0 419 2410 2424 0
c4 0 243 1713 3633 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51901 1593 57 78 0
c1 616 4897 544 150 0
c2 3 2904 2093 848 0
c3 0 766 2088 2338 0
c4 0 320 2061 3428 0

Date: 2022-04-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50282 1666 53 63 0
c1 295 5222 690 165 0
c2 11 2777 2172 595 0
c3 0 605 2414 2510 0
c4 0 522 1974 3685 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50044 1729 62 84 0
c1 537 4559 627 202 0
c2 7 3048 2270 708 0
c3 0 799 2097 2644 0
c4 0 657 2247 3380 0

Date: 2022-04-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51227 1906 49 51 0
c1 354 4906 611 227 0
c2 5 2664 2458 614 0
c3 0 602 2271 2313 0
c4 0 797 1947 3049 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50977 1910 55 80 0
c1 590 4341 528 250 0
c2 19 3033 2529 665 0
c3 0 690 2037 2401 0
c4 0 901 2187 2858 0


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