Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2022-02-03

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2022-01-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 51928 1949 30 34 0
c1 744 5337 555 140 0
c2 28 2619 3197 760 0
c3 1 1477 2419 2817 0
c4 0 183 907 1763 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-01-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 52998 1808 14 14 0
c1 478 5914 458 71 0
c2 13 2238 4137 1060 0
c3 0 344 2138 3419 0
c4 0 40 600 1674 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-02-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 51222 1822 15 13 0
c1 573 5845 509 79 0
c2 28 2348 3894 1310 0
c3 0 398 2084 3324 0
c4 0 69 657 1894 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-02-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 51526 2082 8 16 0
c1 527 6105 753 161 0
c2 11 2175 3504 1349 0
c3 0 457 2021 3041 0
c4 0 115 706 1965 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 51481 2108 10 16 0
c1 570 6069 743 150 0
c2 13 2181 3514 1362 0
c3 0 454 2028 3053 0
c4 0 122 697 1951 0

Date: 2022-02-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 51054 1951 15 10 0
c1 946 5279 899 150 0
c2 66 2026 3439 1193 0
c3 19 464 1785 2985 0
c4 0 123 600 1764 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 51054 1971 16 9 0
c1 941 5248 901 146 0
c2 80 2041 3448 1215 0
c3 10 462 1779 2984 0
c4 0 121 594 1748 0

Date: 2022-02-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 52722 1716 24 4 0
c1 1176 5085 700 117 0
c2 7 2376 2943 1050 0
c3 0 420 1783 3064 0
c4 0 59 638 1654 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 52475 1759 35 10 0
c1 1234 4419 584 123 0
c2 164 2718 2798 1136 0
c3 32 628 1953 2863 0
c4 0 132 718 1757 0

Date: 2022-02-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 52879 1759 10 4 0
c1 1538 5395 540 109 0
c2 48 2139 3273 1074 0
c3 1 516 1526 3049 0
c4 0 159 619 1569 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 52646 1881 20 11 0
c1 1512 4661 477 147 0
c2 260 2457 3078 1090 0
c3 47 729 1711 2899 0
c4 1 240 682 1658 0

Date: 2022-02-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 52195 1658 6 3 0
c1 1444 6231 427 140 0
c2 85 2256 3065 1389 0
c3 11 568 1683 2873 0
c4 0 251 706 1612 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 51977 1812 19 7 0
c1 1349 5306 395 213 0
c2 280 2714 2894 1338 0
c3 115 811 1747 2759 0
c4 14 321 832 1700 0


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