Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2022-01-20

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2022-01-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 54687 1580 41 67 0
c1 840 4138 730 85 0
c2 20 1884 3104 1086 0
c3 2 595 2532 4214 0
c4 0 169 558 1310 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-01-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 53767 1803 18 40 0
c1 599 4259 731 64 0
c2 24 1764 3313 762 0
c3 4 497 2525 4284 0
c4 0 68 391 1184 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-01-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 53269 1574 19 72 0
c1 690 4115 622 120 0
c2 8 1708 3104 1016 0
c3 0 599 2194 3891 0
c4 0 98 520 1187 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-01-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 53208 1769 27 50 0
c1 574 4348 512 62 0
c2 12 2050 3153 829 0
c3 0 593 2605 3878 0
c4 0 122 651 1503 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 53229 1815 28 51 0
c1 546 4278 515 59 0
c2 19 2060 3149 837 0
c3 0 600 2596 3860 0
c4 0 129 660 1515 0

Date: 2022-01-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 53958 1808 32 51 0
c1 914 4163 505 175 0
c2 143 2369 2581 1025 0
c3 29 1209 2347 3725 0
c4 5 428 702 1495 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 53955 1862 32 50 0
c1 910 4073 493 165 0
c2 145 2393 2588 1023 0
c3 35 1214 2364 3755 0
c4 4 435 690 1478 0

Date: 2022-01-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 53669 1874 27 4 0
c1 1118 4618 367 64 0
c2 235 2684 2795 787 0
c3 37 1811 2322 3165 0
c4 0 363 873 1424 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 53292 1884 34 5 0
c1 1246 4369 442 101 0
c2 361 2545 2509 1017 0
c3 159 2006 2504 2676 0
c4 1 546 895 1645 0

Date: 2022-01-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 51679 2109 20 9 0
c1 1207 4816 503 105 0
c2 253 2696 2875 781 0
c3 21 2093 1985 2897 0
c4 0 401 947 1619 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 51413 2156 53 9 0
c1 1148 4509 644 125 0
c2 392 2459 2570 1070 0
c3 207 2508 2126 2521 0
c4 0 483 937 1686 0

Date: 2022-01-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 51928 1949 30 34 0
c1 744 5337 555 140 0
c2 28 2619 3197 760 0
c3 1 1477 2419 2817 0
c4 0 183 907 1763 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 51699 2042 48 42 0
c1 839 4867 575 157 0
c2 104 2480 3062 992 0
c3 54 1864 2607 2616 0
c4 5 312 816 1707 0


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