Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2022-01-13

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2022-01-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51244 1403 34 83 0
c1 759 4387 746 107 0
c2 18 1702 2787 1643 0
c3 3 225 1447 3418 0
c4 0 84 344 863 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-01-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55280 1641 11 104 0
c1 527 4701 816 83 0
c2 3 1271 2685 1644 0
c3 0 251 1777 4095 0
c4 0 60 408 1349 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-01-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53773 1311 14 122 0
c1 755 4278 508 90 0
c2 36 1582 2696 1303 0
c3 19 392 1750 3856 0
c4 1 172 526 1137 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-01-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53636 1539 32 95 0
c1 765 4337 616 82 0
c2 12 1800 2784 1117 0
c3 3 478 2333 3805 0
c4 0 167 569 1181 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53652 1601 31 87 0
c1 748 4279 623 90 0
c2 13 1793 2800 1134 0
c3 3 483 2309 3803 0
c4 0 165 571 1166 0

Date: 2022-01-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53907 1658 32 55 0
c1 952 3770 758 77 0
c2 38 1789 3129 1002 0
c3 10 624 2605 3978 0
c4 0 210 610 1150 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53929 1681 24 51 0
c1 929 3735 767 78 0
c2 40 1792 3117 1004 0
c3 9 630 2613 3998 0
c4 0 213 613 1131 0

Date: 2022-01-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54767 1680 31 53 0
c1 497 4016 747 78 0
c2 19 1661 3279 920 0
c3 0 610 2460 3879 0
c4 0 65 400 1417 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54611 1734 43 56 0
c1 628 3601 734 102 0
c2 39 1825 3311 1071 0
c3 5 636 2335 3799 0
c4 0 236 494 1319 0

Date: 2022-01-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54162 1750 34 39 0
c1 616 4506 539 82 0
c2 9 1759 3225 1002 0
c3 0 566 2219 3748 0
c4 0 91 563 1281 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54004 1861 44 44 0
c1 699 3933 531 133 0
c2 63 1979 3267 1176 0
c3 21 637 2157 3555 0
c4 0 262 581 1244 0

Date: 2022-01-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52414 1978 27 54 0
c1 595 4700 533 98 0
c2 60 2391 2873 851 0
c3 20 760 2515 3877 0
c4 4 224 637 1445 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52253 2043 30 75 0
c1 647 4294 455 103 0
c2 99 2491 3124 1007 0
c3 80 833 2364 3712 0
c4 14 392 612 1428 0


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