Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2021-12-30

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2021-12-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56611 1699 71 95 0
c1 1083 7087 1258 245 0
c2 9 1447 3197 2132 0
c3 0 188 1308 3199 0
c4 0 49 339 615 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-12-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55698 1624 142 38 0
c1 799 6100 1315 168 0
c2 21 1346 3728 2130 0
c3 4 223 1192 3248 0
c4 0 55 374 783 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-12-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55779 1699 166 53 0
c1 710 5175 1073 161 0
c2 25 1190 3378 2096 0
c3 5 175 1082 3426 0
c4 0 60 392 698 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-12-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56173 1661 127 58 0
c1 751 5540 1324 251 0
c2 13 1278 3991 1965 0
c3 3 158 892 2910 0
c4 0 57 307 627 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56154 1670 130 58 0
c1 769 5540 1304 250 0
c2 14 1278 4004 1987 0
c3 3 151 901 2890 0
c4 0 55 302 626 0

Date: 2022-01-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55689 1844 165 71 0
c1 741 5110 1303 280 0
c2 7 1381 3573 2429 0
c3 11 184 919 2824 0
c4 3 84 275 675 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55694 1879 167 73 0
c1 736 5087 1317 292 0
c2 8 1368 3556 2422 0
c3 11 188 923 2818 0
c4 2 81 272 674 0

Date: 2022-01-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54605 2049 136 36 0
c1 561 5303 655 220 0
c2 6 1460 2860 2449 0
c3 2 204 1100 3623 0
c4 0 167 464 963 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54363 2009 137 51 0
c1 738 5168 823 364 0
c2 54 1573 2839 2658 0
c3 17 272 967 3261 0
c4 2 161 449 957 0

Date: 2022-01-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53973 1896 82 60 0
c1 736 4722 686 84 0
c2 1 1417 2551 1918 0
c3 0 241 1422 3833 0
c4 0 119 404 929 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53920 1879 118 70 0
c1 763 4626 759 113 0
c2 26 1489 2603 2288 0
c3 1 295 1224 3430 0
c4 0 106 441 923 0

Date: 2022-01-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51244 1403 34 83 0
c1 759 4387 746 107 0
c2 18 1702 2787 1643 0
c3 3 225 1447 3418 0
c4 0 84 344 863 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51017 1452 37 114 0
c1 899 4297 820 133 0
c2 86 1728 2868 1954 0
c3 20 236 1255 3091 0
c4 2 88 378 822 0


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