Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2021-12-09

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2021-12-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 62224 2492 11 10 0
c1 731 5594 796 88 0
c2 10 2133 3890 2005 0
c3 8 223 773 2055 0
c4 0 103 313 421 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-12-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 62187 2582 19 19 0
c1 513 5771 404 27 0
c2 27 2041 3706 1973 0
c3 3 470 866 2291 0
c4 0 163 527 579 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-12-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 61876 2699 40 45 0
c1 721 5718 520 89 0
c2 12 2189 4284 1664 0
c3 7 474 1460 2573 0
c4 1 233 599 650 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-12-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 62230 2482 37 45 0
c1 933 5554 607 130 0
c2 48 2049 4005 1658 0
c3 14 355 1377 2888 0
c4 2 317 711 751 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 62230 2435 37 45 0
c1 933 5613 613 131 0
c2 46 2030 3998 1677 0
c3 16 359 1376 2859 0
c4 2 320 713 760 0

Date: 2021-12-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 59972 2358 33 13 0
c1 964 6019 528 56 0
c2 41 2027 3360 1962 0
c3 8 347 1149 2831 0
c4 0 218 650 906 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 59949 2447 33 13 0
c1 989 5941 530 55 0
c2 37 2014 3375 1963 0
c3 8 346 1136 2834 0
c4 2 221 646 903 0

Date: 2021-12-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 60157 2216 25 80 0
c1 697 6875 462 52 0
c2 11 1788 3432 1734 0
c3 0 358 1222 2667 1
c4 0 62 447 825 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 59880 2417 26 81 0
c1 925 5945 443 73 0
c2 44 2276 3315 1702 0
c3 14 339 1206 2743 0
c4 2 322 598 759 1

Date: 2021-12-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 59652 1804 23 73 0
c1 850 5731 976 179 0
c2 22 1579 3497 2206 0
c3 2 281 963 2782 0
c4 0 124 336 1260 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 59488 1895 25 79 0
c1 953 4961 982 175 0
c2 65 1987 3161 2114 0
c3 15 371 1167 2888 0
c4 5 305 460 1244 0

Date: 2021-12-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 60588 2138 21 79 0
c1 1012 5785 1046 268 0
c2 26 1918 3186 1584 0
c3 17 207 1204 2783 0
c4 0 148 339 1380 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 60174 2487 33 81 0
c1 1321 4641 1082 327 0
c2 112 2364 2998 1656 0
c3 35 401 1178 2694 0
c4 1 303 505 1336 0


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