Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2021-11-18

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2021-11-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 69110 2750 6 6 0
c1 786 8892 1769 605 0
c2 4 1235 4066 2821 0
c3 0 231 911 1426 0
c4 0 20 285 722 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-11-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 68009 2749 3 0 0
c1 567 9689 1201 137 0
c2 11 1157 3829 2588 0
c3 1 169 980 1967 0
c4 0 8 248 714 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-11-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 68431 2764 8 0 0
c1 809 8710 2034 503 0
c2 36 1252 3220 2361 0
c3 6 219 1102 1871 0
c4 0 41 125 511 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-11-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 67951 2456 11 0 0
c1 804 8538 2053 469 0
c2 56 970 3832 2330 0
c3 23 201 967 1666 0
c4 0 90 132 498 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 67979 2525 13 0 0
c1 778 8471 2058 458 0
c2 56 965 3824 2345 0
c3 21 204 967 1666 0
c4 0 90 133 494 0

Date: 2021-11-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 66609 2302 4 0 0
c1 752 7826 2150 475 0
c2 6 898 3480 3031 0
c3 0 221 862 1571 0
c4 0 59 123 340 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 66612 2322 4 0 0
c1 749 7816 2177 465 0
c2 6 882 3448 3036 0
c3 0 227 864 1579 0
c4 0 59 126 337 0

Date: 2021-11-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 64881 1941 14 6 0
c1 544 7331 1996 261 0
c2 0 856 3936 3025 0
c3 0 202 695 1995 0
c4 0 27 122 410 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 64631 2144 39 8 0
c1 783 6866 2108 377 0
c2 11 1089 3690 3371 0
c3 0 220 810 1596 0
c4 0 38 116 345 0

Date: 2021-11-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 65815 2187 41 7 0
c1 800 6610 2038 327 0
c2 0 1161 3972 3219 0
c3 0 205 562 1932 0
c4 0 10 139 407 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 65755 2314 74 7 0
c1 846 6345 1885 355 0
c2 14 1282 4107 3527 0
c3 0 232 588 1672 0
c4 0 0 98 331 0

Date: 2021-11-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 65023 2149 42 5 0
c1 730 5938 2148 486 0
c2 5 1149 3902 3288 0
c3 0 223 600 1778 0
c4 0 18 156 395 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 64822 2219 55 5 0
c1 918 5566 2094 557 0
c2 18 1495 4078 3628 0
c3 0 191 561 1481 0
c4 0 6 60 281 0


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