Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2021-10-21

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2021-10-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 84565 3296 0 0 0
c1 1359 8325 1283 495 0
c2 28 1383 916 479 0
c3 0 677 832 760 0
c4 0 88 218 435 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-10-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 82391 3179 0 0 0
c1 712 9540 1539 371 0
c2 29 1711 998 622 0
c3 0 804 790 749 0
c4 0 128 599 589 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-10-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 78304 3577 0 0 0
c1 748 10218 1591 312 0
c2 12 1574 1259 725 0
c3 0 686 635 684 0
c4 0 195 770 1367 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-10-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 73017 3245 0 0 0
c1 1198 10689 1875 312 0
c2 25 1705 1580 824 0
c3 1 901 845 397 0
c4 0 85 478 763 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 73046 3339 0 0 0
c1 1172 10555 1892 345 0
c2 22 1757 1542 779 0
c3 1 868 819 388 0
c4 0 106 525 784 0

Date: 2021-10-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 75661 2823 0 0 0
c1 997 10945 2229 327 0
c2 39 1676 1670 1263 0
c3 0 1004 690 673 0
c4 0 306 459 444 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 75667 3005 0 0 0
c1 994 10745 2234 366 0
c2 36 1678 1671 1218 0
c3 0 1030 667 650 0
c4 0 296 476 473 0

Date: 2021-10-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 77659 2837 0 0 0
c1 573 11045 2314 319 0
c2 24 1476 1811 1635 0
c3 0 662 1014 956 0
c4 0 349 920 815 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 77194 2915 0 0 0
c1 1034 10902 2350 382 0
c2 27 1557 1784 1570 0
c3 1 669 981 949 0
c4 0 326 944 824 0

Date: 2021-10-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 76322 2681 0 0 0
c1 763 10858 1779 282 0
c2 38 1873 2225 1806 0
c3 0 833 1230 788 0
c4 0 140 989 966 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 75864 2862 0 0 0
c1 1191 10561 2132 503 0
c2 61 1936 1881 1564 0
c3 7 905 1222 787 0
c4 0 121 988 988 0

Date: 2021-10-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 77600 2596 2 0 0
c1 639 10718 1754 205 0
c2 46 1937 3411 1925 0
c3 1 617 1188 1141 0
c4 0 35 563 715 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 77083 2797 4 0 0
c1 1091 10485 2425 406 0
c2 80 1835 2676 1768 0
c3 32 750 1262 1040 0
c4 0 36 551 772 0


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