Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2021-03-25

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2021-03-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51401 1354 15 2 0
c1 691 3740 221 44 0
c2 42 2455 1886 681 0
c3 7 1237 2296 3285 0
c4 0 547 1516 4532 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-03-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 47212 1520 11 6 0
c1 502 4078 332 41 0
c2 78 2180 2282 670 0
c3 22 1179 2258 3083 0
c4 0 660 1217 4565 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-03-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51645 1222 12 3 0
c1 624 3253 369 81 0
c2 146 2134 2137 1022 0
c3 58 1157 2211 3222 0
c4 0 501 1294 4506 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-03-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51688 1486 15 14 0
c1 587 3193 318 47 0
c2 45 1918 2029 1011 0
c3 21 964 2703 2755 0
c4 1 410 1632 4494 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51702 1537 15 14 0
c1 565 3155 304 48 0
c2 55 1899 2032 1013 0
c3 19 974 2714 2751 0
c4 1 406 1632 4495 0

Date: 2021-03-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49026 1276 9 6 0
c1 856 2666 235 44 0
c2 136 2146 1785 887 0
c3 84 1116 2789 3127 0
c4 13 583 1596 4899 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49021 1335 9 6 0
c1 860 2622 227 42 0
c2 149 2115 1762 894 0
c3 73 1138 2794 3115 0
c4 12 577 1622 4906 0

Date: 2021-03-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51630 1393 15 6 0
c1 1084 4214 193 41 0
c2 72 2541 1949 625 0
c3 24 598 2749 3571 0
c4 1 270 721 3128 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51448 1669 15 6 0
c1 936 2807 112 36 0
c2 229 2527 1372 602 0
c3 140 1300 2705 2611 0
c4 58 713 1423 4116 0

Date: 2021-03-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51176 1664 7 2 0
c1 971 4538 123 26 0
c2 73 2654 1834 619 0
c3 9 803 2760 3578 0
c4 0 446 1061 3685 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51028 2086 10 2 0
c1 845 2955 104 16 0
c2 176 2742 1418 561 0
c3 149 1351 2490 2683 0
c4 31 971 1763 4648 0

Date: 2021-04-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52223 1556 5 3 0
c1 1027 3863 182 33 0
c2 47 2475 1863 642 0
c3 12 1104 2330 3507 0
c4 1 777 1439 3871 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52130 1885 11 4 0
c1 815 2637 207 31 0
c2 179 2311 1562 607 0
c3 148 1629 1930 2481 0
c4 38 1313 2109 4933 0


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