Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2021-01-28

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2021-01-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55274 1409 9 1 0
c1 637 5545 1008 180 0
c2 2 1825 2779 1482 0
c3 0 448 1777 3127 0
c4 0 165 1005 1961 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-01-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55427 1496 4 1 0
c1 484 5625 402 111 0
c2 5 1603 3487 1661 0
c3 0 233 1561 3663 0
c4 0 35 492 1843 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-01-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53610 1472 9 0 0
c1 540 5115 612 104 0
c2 13 1328 3470 1746 0
c3 0 181 1387 3633 0
c4 0 29 404 2000 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-01-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53493 1353 20 2 0
c1 669 4362 970 126 0
c2 25 1338 3155 1865 0
c3 23 172 1248 3446 0
c4 0 69 376 1577 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53524 1327 16 2 0
c1 645 4371 994 128 0
c2 30 1352 3118 1862 0
c3 11 177 1270 3439 0
c4 0 67 371 1585 0

Date: 2021-01-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54304 1367 12 9 0
c1 625 4158 820 150 0
c2 24 1572 3404 1640 0
c3 7 278 1382 3867 0
c4 0 54 352 1926 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54316 1372 12 9 0
c1 624 4163 861 142 0
c2 20 1569 3339 1634 0
c3 0 277 1410 3908 0
c4 0 48 348 1899 0

Date: 2021-02-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53818 1561 16 2 0
c1 537 4584 560 46 0
c2 35 1748 3441 1361 0
c3 0 220 1480 3957 0
c4 0 38 470 2394 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53581 1582 20 2 0
c1 746 4410 804 153 0
c2 60 1767 3156 1536 0
c3 3 319 1435 3657 0
c4 0 73 552 2412 0

Date: 2021-02-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51706 1582 7 9 0
c1 622 4623 497 89 0
c2 28 2057 3239 1387 0
c3 0 379 1880 3972 0
c4 0 92 781 2977 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51475 1624 7 9 0
c1 823 4587 624 210 0
c2 57 1924 2997 1449 0
c3 1 497 1865 3601 0
c4 0 101 911 3165 0

Date: 2021-02-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52776 1574 11 2 0
c1 632 4439 504 110 0
c2 25 2678 3026 1362 0
c3 0 470 1902 3264 0
c4 0 125 677 3132 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52620 1616 12 0 0
c1 743 4506 629 278 0
c2 60 2392 2891 1324 0
c3 10 617 1667 2867 0
c4 0 155 921 3401 0


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