Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2021-01-21

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2021-01-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55251 2062 5 8 0
c1 481 6106 1007 358 0
c2 16 1676 2020 1068 0
c3 12 393 1766 3641 0
c4 2 346 741 2263 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-01-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55778 1592 10 1 0
c1 522 6233 749 208 0
c2 6 1560 2988 1408 0
c3 0 331 1449 3717 0
c4 0 141 687 1859 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-01-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54560 1287 11 6 0
c1 700 5772 1003 277 0
c2 10 1503 2683 1410 0
c3 0 306 1734 3023 0
c4 0 134 847 1692 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-01-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54523 1518 9 1 0
c1 786 5338 1211 214 0
c2 0 1691 2788 1378 0
c3 0 358 1872 3004 0
c4 0 132 947 1849 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54599 1550 11 1 0
c1 710 5285 1223 212 0
c2 0 1725 2797 1383 0
c3 0 353 1852 2995 0
c4 0 124 944 1855 0

Date: 2021-01-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54973 1571 14 2 0
c1 672 5342 906 201 0
c2 4 1881 2644 1356 0
c3 0 475 1617 2953 0
c4 0 145 869 1957 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55044 1591 15 1 0
c1 600 5310 911 199 0
c2 5 1897 2629 1386 0
c3 0 471 1627 2942 0
c4 0 145 868 1941 0

Date: 2021-01-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53967 1365 5 5 0
c1 443 5492 451 89 0
c2 8 1436 3641 1487 0
c3 0 222 1911 3606 0
c4 0 42 570 2219 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53781 1387 5 5 0
c1 612 5043 716 226 0
c2 25 1664 3100 1492 0
c3 0 395 1972 2951 0
c4 0 68 785 2732 0

Date: 2021-01-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54467 1234 16 0 0
c1 609 4650 901 129 0
c2 17 1365 3086 1992 0
c3 7 182 1269 3652 0
c4 0 42 381 1777 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54206 1266 30 0 0
c1 827 4207 1022 263 0
c2 61 1561 2891 1900 0
c3 6 361 1188 3244 0
c4 0 78 522 2143 0

Date: 2021-01-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53931 1491 8 2 0
c1 694 4231 933 132 0
c2 37 1323 3231 1955 0
c3 28 244 1238 3419 0
c4 1 72 334 1684 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53585 1592 26 2 0
c1 986 3724 1042 167 0
c2 67 1542 3029 1937 0
c3 38 365 1187 3099 0
c4 15 138 460 1987 0


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