Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2021-01-14

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2021-01-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55655 1860 14 0 0
c1 1124 6033 492 72 0
c2 59 1970 2903 1465 0
c3 16 300 1396 3430 0
c4 20 206 615 1221 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-01-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56393 1855 18 1 0
c1 554 6279 476 42 0
c2 38 1676 2713 893 0
c3 20 300 1628 3914 0
c4 20 191 650 1734 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-01-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55216 2039 3 1 0
c1 732 6129 716 52 0
c2 30 1955 2521 1156 0
c3 16 345 1861 4029 0
c4 5 199 738 1852 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-01-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55515 2086 7 1 0
c1 621 6240 868 191 0
c2 19 2016 2162 1213 0
c3 11 581 1865 3490 0
c4 2 359 726 1984 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55523 2137 7 1 0
c1 612 6184 878 204 0
c2 20 2022 2148 1208 0
c3 10 578 1877 3499 0
c4 3 361 718 1967 0

Date: 2021-01-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54011 1993 8 7 0
c1 537 6274 1037 442 0
c2 20 1606 2350 1250 0
c3 17 367 1716 3472 0
c4 5 354 661 2063 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54036 2061 8 7 0
c1 509 6217 1008 446 0
c2 21 1605 2390 1263 0
c3 17 361 1700 3462 0
c4 7 350 666 2056 0

Date: 2021-01-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54968 1572 20 4 0
c1 682 6040 800 210 0
c2 14 1513 2528 1346 0
c3 0 303 1545 3286 0
c4 0 101 774 1658 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54748 1827 28 7 0
c1 803 5509 1105 441 0
c2 30 1589 2037 1288 0
c3 31 380 1762 2732 0
c4 52 224 735 2036 0

Date: 2021-01-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 47846 1135 11 4 0
c1 715 5103 1197 208 0
c2 3 1511 2707 1260 0
c3 0 287 2028 2912 0
c4 0 102 947 2018 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 47549 1379 23 5 0
c1 926 4631 1601 343 0
c2 37 1424 2066 1448 0
c3 30 474 2123 2330 0
c4 22 230 1077 2276 0

Date: 2021-01-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55274 1409 9 1 0
c1 637 5545 1008 180 0
c2 2 1825 2779 1482 0
c3 0 448 1777 3127 0
c4 0 165 1005 1961 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54896 1618 15 2 0
c1 958 5203 1069 310 0
c2 29 1579 2558 1565 0
c3 18 667 1807 2424 0
c4 12 325 1129 2450 0


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