Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2020-12-24

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2020-12-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 46948 1556 28 23 0
c1 696 7442 2100 355 0
c2 3 1004 4198 2635 0
c3 0 216 1805 3734 0
c4 0 33 425 772 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-12-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 40375 1327 16 22 0
c1 405 7431 1628 241 0
c2 2 1366 4598 2890 0
c3 0 109 1452 4239 0
c4 0 30 410 724 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-12-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50926 1368 16 13 0
c1 656 7183 1237 274 0
c2 31 1540 4287 2721 0
c3 15 173 1613 4137 0
c4 0 38 351 758 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-12-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 46072 1337 14 26 0
c1 898 6680 1168 106 0
c2 91 1756 4005 2604 0
c3 34 278 1501 3989 0
c4 0 92 513 830 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 46080 1379 14 27 0
c1 892 6644 1179 99 0
c2 92 1753 3974 2628 0
c3 31 271 1516 3977 0
c4 0 96 518 824 0

Date: 2020-12-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56433 1447 17 37 0
c1 1216 5942 855 211 0
c2 98 2143 3218 2520 0
c3 19 383 1866 4509 0
c4 0 166 365 2348 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56469 1495 19 41 0
c1 1173 5874 863 210 0
c2 106 2147 3199 2514 0
c3 18 393 1878 4549 0
c4 0 172 362 2311 0

Date: 2020-12-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54418 1285 18 22 0
c1 726 6496 711 138 0
c2 59 2080 3355 1282 0
c3 91 287 1957 5024 0
c4 48 221 365 2666 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53872 1266 26 29 0
c1 1366 5990 696 204 0
c2 95 2684 3330 1761 0
c3 9 342 2032 4560 0
c4 0 87 322 2578 0

Date: 2020-12-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56276 1458 29 16 0
c1 1141 6445 660 88 0
c2 73 2246 3330 1227 0
c3 58 279 1879 4192 0
c4 1 225 354 1550 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55786 1444 37 30 0
c1 1676 5820 738 128 0
c2 87 2915 3063 1573 0
c3 0 405 2084 3988 0
c4 0 69 330 1354 0

Date: 2021-01-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56904 1805 38 0 0
c1 1277 6255 782 77 0
c2 107 2329 2950 1059 0
c3 85 362 1802 3739 0
c4 16 272 730 1787 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56407 1806 50 1 0
c1 1804 5428 807 118 0
c2 171 3032 2648 1314 0
c3 7 595 2071 3572 0
c4 0 162 726 1657 0


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