Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2020-12-10

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2020-12-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 64515 2811 52 4 0
c1 998 8773 1707 186 0
c2 11 1667 5640 3777 0
c3 10 444 1238 2652 0
c4 3 226 467 922 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-12-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 63217 2610 28 4 0
c1 494 9659 1385 78 0
c2 13 1200 5568 3447 0
c3 4 156 1045 3310 0
c4 0 161 448 895 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-12-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 61712 2290 33 1 0
c1 816 8994 1427 193 0
c2 11 1363 4874 2922 0
c3 2 216 849 3022 0
c4 0 123 375 728 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-12-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 61624 2711 22 0 0
c1 1015 8342 1035 201 0
c2 6 1544 4357 2583 0
c3 0 193 800 2901 0
c4 0 67 336 738 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 61672 2808 22 0 0
c1 968 8227 1038 186 0
c2 5 1569 4339 2600 0
c3 0 187 820 2903 0
c4 0 66 331 734 0

Date: 2020-12-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 60695 2719 9 13 0
c1 1070 8312 2375 607 0
c2 6 1429 4158 2982 0
c3 2 277 1254 3017 0
c4 0 151 446 829 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 60770 2713 10 8 0
c1 995 8313 2385 603 0
c2 8 1441 4132 2975 0
c3 0 274 1283 3029 0
c4 0 147 432 833 0

Date: 2020-12-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49969 1919 15 8 0
c1 951 8310 2363 345 0
c2 15 1124 4564 2174 0
c3 0 211 1757 4282 0
c4 0 58 514 756 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49673 2288 14 16 0
c1 1226 7806 2763 772 0
c2 29 1099 4432 2560 0
c3 7 278 1385 3479 0
c4 0 151 619 738 0

Date: 2020-12-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 48506 1660 39 4 0
c1 885 8199 2377 562 0
c2 9 1018 4234 2339 0
c3 2 290 1506 4299 0
c4 0 41 474 750 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 48310 1904 47 8 0
c1 1013 7767 2653 791 0
c2 51 1065 4140 2870 0
c3 22 317 1211 3548 0
c4 6 155 579 737 0

Date: 2020-12-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 46948 1556 28 23 0
c1 696 7442 2100 355 0
c2 3 1004 4198 2635 0
c3 0 216 1805 3734 0
c4 0 33 425 772 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 46732 1737 30 25 0
c1 853 7003 2372 662 0
c2 37 1096 4196 2818 0
c3 16 244 1404 3254 0
c4 9 171 554 760 0


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