Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2020-12-03

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2020-11-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 64986 1853 24 20 0
c1 1496 8159 2251 168 0
c2 15 1611 6430 3029 0
c3 32 276 1047 1964 0
c4 3 171 439 1151 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-11-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 67470 2171 37 5 0
c1 825 9060 1497 128 0
c2 30 2737 6901 2468 0
c3 10 233 1767 2781 0
c4 0 83 500 1112 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-12-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 63499 2576 39 7 0
c1 754 8968 1784 127 0
c2 27 2644 6316 2517 0
c3 8 329 1498 2265 0
c4 0 62 252 852 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-12-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 64561 2644 50 19 0
c1 1013 8817 1607 141 0
c2 15 1841 5909 3361 0
c3 12 502 1228 2474 0
c4 2 237 416 895 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 64575 2643 52 20 0
c1 1001 8768 1614 158 0
c2 14 1885 5926 3331 0
c3 12 516 1193 2485 0
c4 1 229 425 896 0

Date: 2020-12-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 63306 2750 52 1 0
c1 956 8098 1817 155 0
c2 14 1361 5399 4096 0
c3 15 329 1146 2583 0
c4 1 195 475 899 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 63267 2827 54 1 0
c1 995 7981 1776 164 0
c2 14 1400 5412 4109 0
c3 15 318 1164 2559 0
c4 1 207 483 901 0

Date: 2020-12-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 63428 2211 32 1 0
c1 688 9642 1235 90 0
c2 11 1464 4876 3161 0
c3 3 202 895 3176 0
c4 0 135 453 808 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 62871 2670 43 1 0
c1 1220 9219 1376 164 0
c2 18 1230 4680 3933 0
c3 19 286 893 2361 0
c4 2 249 499 777 0

Date: 2020-12-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 61859 2458 27 0 0
c1 1011 9286 1320 201 0
c2 6 1501 4599 2859 0
c3 1 203 837 2845 0
c4 0 55 318 746 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 61325 2786 38 0 0
c1 1526 8698 1668 337 0
c2 14 1652 4100 3285 0
c3 10 192 898 2331 0
c4 2 175 397 698 0

Date: 2020-12-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 60676 2944 3 0 0
c1 1227 7834 2185 576 0
c2 3 1261 4303 2911 0
c3 0 253 935 3107 0
c4 0 134 398 823 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 59979 3354 63 6 0
c1 1918 6716 2166 880 0
c2 7 1869 4255 3287 0
c3 2 294 858 2408 0
c4 0 193 482 836 0


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