Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2020-11-19

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2020-11-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 72019 2468 13 4 0
c1 1475 12130 4611 486 0
c2 17 698 3614 2515 0
c3 15 318 973 1955 0
c4 2 156 524 1212 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-11-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 72827 2335 18 2 0
c1 672 11385 2484 50 0
c2 6 1397 4734 2303 0
c3 8 228 1128 2413 0
c4 1 265 717 1282 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-11-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 71226 2283 22 2 0
c1 1219 10721 2293 176 0
c2 12 2132 4639 2223 0
c3 16 288 960 2206 0
c4 2 220 782 829 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-11-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 71428 2324 19 4 0
c1 1315 10384 2478 226 0
c2 13 3146 4372 1907 0
c3 13 183 1084 2464 0
c4 1 140 652 854 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 71321 2337 21 4 0
c1 1422 10358 2463 228 0
c2 12 3158 4356 1883 0
c3 14 179 1114 2483 0
c4 1 145 651 857 0

Date: 2020-11-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 70310 2965 36 8 0
c1 1019 9814 3299 497 0
c2 18 3625 4119 1805 0
c3 17 248 1108 1999 0
c4 2 161 635 981 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 70204 3041 33 9 0
c1 1129 9778 3274 502 0
c2 15 3596 4132 1758 0
c3 16 239 1119 2036 0
c4 2 159 639 985 0

Date: 2020-11-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 68702 2372 31 10 0
c1 731 10224 2594 208 0
c2 19 2006 5706 2142 0
c3 21 210 1038 1713 0
c4 0 129 596 1251 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 68093 3279 34 13 0
c1 1334 8510 3522 846 0
c2 18 2732 4959 1857 0
c3 22 238 942 1781 0
c4 6 182 508 827 0

Date: 2020-11-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 67262 2215 26 15 0
c1 1247 9365 2362 197 0
c2 13 1563 5892 2766 0
c3 17 249 1075 1855 0
c4 0 110 427 1340 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 66622 3035 29 14 0
c1 1877 7922 2975 1003 0
c2 17 2144 5359 2343 0
c3 14 252 1012 1855 0
c4 9 149 407 958 0

Date: 2020-11-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 64986 1853 24 20 0
c1 1496 8159 2251 168 0
c2 15 1611 6430 3029 0
c3 32 276 1047 1964 0
c4 3 171 439 1151 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 64426 2361 60 21 0
c1 1994 7082 2932 754 0
c2 68 2105 5820 2813 0
c3 24 324 937 1891 0
c4 20 198 442 853 0


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