Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2020-04-09

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2020-04-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 21933 2028 91 15 0
c1 265 4785 1993 865 0
c2 2 1626 3361 2835 0
c3 0 305 1355 2899 0
c4 0 177 566 1693 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-04-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 48943 1694 38 3 0
c1 278 5228 2752 1223 0
c2 0 1036 3581 2483 0
c3 0 200 1333 1832 0
c4 0 84 470 1193 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-04-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 46104 1804 37 13 0
c1 218 4921 2389 1049 0
c2 0 1761 3469 2609 0
c3 0 153 1562 1900 0
c4 0 52 384 1411 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-04-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 29778 1755 70 6 0
c1 227 4756 1896 883 0
c2 0 2294 3642 2054 0
c3 0 236 1675 1898 0
c4 0 43 393 922 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 29789 1790 67 7 0
c1 216 4687 1877 887 0
c2 0 2320 3637 2016 0
c3 0 242 1691 1934 0
c4 0 45 404 919 0

Date: 2020-04-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 51065 2749 32 17 0
c1 269 5480 1625 906 0
c2 1 3123 2956 2313 0
c3 0 493 1389 2037 0
c4 0 97 364 1578 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 51061 2766 28 15 0
c1 270 5393 1625 938 0
c2 4 3151 2938 2270 0
c3 0 544 1392 2052 0
c4 0 88 383 1576 0

Date: 2020-04-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 51678 2933 14 2 0
c1 112 7210 1970 1163 0
c2 1 1982 2492 2723 0
c3 0 122 964 1620 0
c4 0 39 226 1607 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 51539 3205 33 14 0
c1 249 4903 1193 813 0
c2 3 3238 2591 2536 0
c3 0 818 1354 1891 0
c4 0 122 495 1861 0

Date: 2020-04-15:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2020-04-17:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available


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