Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2020-03-19

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2020-03-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 52610 1797 51 24 0
c1 489 4585 1826 773 0
c2 0 1034 3387 2702 0
c3 0 354 1672 2122 0
c4 0 155 333 1029 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-03-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 49283 1688 41 6 0
c1 239 5915 1773 564 0
c2 0 1592 4133 2419 0
c3 0 120 1785 2427 0
c4 0 11 276 1911 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-03-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 50974 2034 40 16 0
c1 305 5832 1456 668 0
c2 5 1249 4069 2793 0
c3 0 114 1523 2852 0
c4 0 38 385 2315 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-03-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 49762 2172 54 8 0
c1 490 5927 1267 554 0
c2 5 1615 3780 2679 0
c3 0 242 1039 2659 0
c4 0 57 454 3698 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 49779 2262 54 15 0
c1 473 5821 1293 558 0
c2 5 1637 3746 2637 0
c3 0 237 1046 2727 0
c4 0 56 455 3661 0

Date: 2020-03-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 51159 2035 31 27 0
c1 473 5947 1197 481 0
c2 0 1992 3841 2075 0
c3 0 219 1608 2095 0
c4 0 51 220 3077 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 51196 2171 30 27 0
c1 436 5808 1244 501 0
c2 0 2007 3809 2024 0
c3 0 214 1601 2132 0
c4 0 44 213 3071 0

Date: 2020-03-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 52532 1997 41 16 0
c1 387 6703 1215 371 0
c2 2 1757 4229 1844 0
c3 0 148 1385 1792 0
c4 0 13 326 1226 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 52434 1990 49 23 0
c1 485 5178 693 275 0
c2 2 2947 3858 1596 0
c3 0 457 2189 2076 0
c4 0 46 407 1279 0

Date: 2020-03-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 38047 2182 25 13 0
c1 417 6821 1098 808 0
c2 0 1776 4410 2835 0
c3 0 127 1516 2218 0
c4 0 29 371 1005 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 37966 2249 30 17 0
c1 498 5426 557 571 0
c2 0 2804 4037 2678 0
c3 0 404 2354 2515 0
c4 0 52 442 1098 0

Date: 2020-03-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 32612 2515 27 14 0
c1 325 5798 1248 812 0
c2 0 1865 4193 3183 0
c3 0 240 1497 2359 0
c4 0 46 491 1086 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 32536 2461 36 21 0
c1 401 4692 816 685 0
c2 0 2667 3820 2890 0
c3 0 562 2224 2657 0
c4 0 82 560 1201 0


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