Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2020-02-06

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2020-01-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53557 1437 15 16 0
c1 543 5795 1082 401 0
c2 0 2242 4357 3573 0
c3 0 189 553 2446 0
c4 0 20 10 192 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-02-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53662 1495 24 15 0
c1 691 7033 1772 706 0
c2 0 1025 4083 3571 0
c3 0 56 634 2378 0
c4 0 0 33 217 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-02-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49771 1437 10 13 0
c1 437 6350 2067 937 0
c2 0 946 3260 3608 0
c3 0 55 606 2306 0
c4 0 4 45 329 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-02-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53397 1418 26 13 0
c1 326 5740 1968 865 0
c2 0 778 3218 2453 0
c3 0 33 816 2657 0
c4 0 4 62 457 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53403 1426 26 12 0
c1 320 5732 1946 830 0
c2 0 780 3268 2509 0
c3 0 31 793 2652 0
c4 0 4 57 442 0

Date: 2020-02-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53931 1534 13 25 0
c1 489 5561 1534 795 0
c2 0 759 3389 2984 0
c3 0 23 769 2601 0
c4 0 12 53 416 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53925 1532 12 25 0
c1 495 5518 1478 786 0
c2 0 804 3468 2974 0
c3 0 23 747 2639 0
c4 0 12 53 397 0

Date: 2020-02-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51055 1762 23 14 0
c1 765 5895 1948 764 0
c2 0 732 3283 2546 0
c3 0 33 619 2277 0
c4 0 2 64 436 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50819 1622 30 26 0
c1 1001 5494 1343 512 0
c2 0 1240 3668 2558 0
c3 0 44 803 2478 0
c4 0 24 93 463 0

Date: 2020-02-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49688 1505 29 5 0
c1 711 5697 1572 721 0
c2 0 1027 3736 2496 0
c3 0 170 946 2768 0
c4 0 9 78 606 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49475 1450 32 16 0
c1 910 5077 1054 481 0
c2 14 1646 3983 2545 0
c3 0 212 1173 2945 0
c4 0 23 119 609 0

Date: 2020-02-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52066 1672 16 14 0
c1 626 5573 1398 736 0
c2 7 1563 3438 3283 0
c3 0 204 1047 2668 0
c4 0 3 56 575 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51734 1612 19 20 0
c1 952 4975 1083 425 0
c2 13 2150 3562 3407 0
c3 0 263 1178 2807 0
c4 0 15 113 617 0


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