Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2020-01-30

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2020-01-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 53179 1885 39 12 0
c1 427 4781 1267 460 0
c2 5 1069 3977 3911 0
c3 0 26 534 2733 0
c4 0 1 44 247 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-01-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 52266 1672 40 20 0
c1 340 4740 1896 665 0
c2 0 521 4181 4809 0
c3 0 39 462 2448 0
c4 0 1 13 176 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-01-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 51502 1743 33 28 0
c1 537 5491 1596 617 0
c2 0 826 4513 4724 0
c3 0 40 501 2620 0
c4 0 0 19 206 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-01-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 41953 1388 12 19 0
c1 510 5811 1206 513 0
c2 0 1255 4645 4056 0
c3 0 81 563 2385 0
c4 0 27 17 175 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 41910 1353 11 22 0
c1 553 5836 1231 506 0
c2 0 1260 4651 4080 0
c3 0 97 533 2389 0
c4 0 16 17 151 0

Date: 2020-02-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 53236 1426 17 22 0
c1 751 5717 1024 330 0
c2 0 2236 3914 3137 0
c3 0 174 702 2288 0
c4 0 14 20 159 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 53213 1381 18 26 0
c1 774 5818 1006 321 0
c2 0 2198 3970 3137 0
c3 0 163 664 2286 0
c4 0 7 19 166 0

Date: 2020-02-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 46329 1456 11 19 0
c1 458 6353 1865 825 0
c2 0 982 3759 3002 0
c3 0 88 868 2282 0
c4 0 2 31 193 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 46260 1404 12 31 0
c1 522 5455 1181 431 0
c2 5 1844 4154 3018 0
c3 0 175 1143 2648 0
c4 0 3 44 193 0

Date: 2020-02-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 52254 1568 10 14 0
c1 421 6232 1936 910 0
c2 0 792 3250 3456 0
c3 0 38 669 2588 0
c4 0 1 42 440 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 52132 1580 13 17 0
c1 543 5529 1393 518 0
c2 0 1412 3529 3454 0
c3 0 108 927 3011 0
c4 0 2 45 408 0

Date: 2020-02-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 51996 1434 6 7 0
c1 391 6076 1864 824 0
c2 0 714 3327 2843 0
c3 0 24 805 2560 0
c4 0 10 73 442 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 51790 1572 11 6 0
c1 595 5204 1385 607 0
c2 2 1397 3426 2678 0
c3 0 78 1152 2914 0
c4 0 7 101 471 0


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