Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2020-01-16

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2020-01-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55873 1799 55 4 0
c1 802 4856 2309 1095 0
c2 0 826 4706 5888 0
c3 0 45 492 2343 0
c4 0 2 16 236 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-01-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 48406 1767 47 53 0
c1 613 5290 2305 1181 0
c2 0 755 3801 5705 0
c3 0 26 481 2373 0
c4 0 0 25 217 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-01-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52500 1897 43 73 0
c1 551 5100 2240 735 0
c2 0 751 4424 4573 0
c3 0 38 860 3143 0
c4 0 0 13 165 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-01-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54494 1915 58 70 0
c1 424 4942 2031 770 0
c2 0 1354 4981 3654 0
c3 0 53 1081 3305 0
c4 0 0 18 125 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54508 1949 62 72 0
c1 410 4928 2088 780 0
c2 0 1336 4975 3677 0
c3 0 51 1027 3280 0
c4 0 0 17 115 0

Date: 2020-01-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54145 1691 87 42 0
c1 456 5193 1776 569 0
c2 0 1212 5195 3975 0
c3 0 89 1131 3122 0
c4 0 0 16 221 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54174 1723 98 46 0
c1 427 5168 1821 532 0
c2 0 1206 5191 4027 0
c3 0 88 1077 3109 0
c4 0 0 18 215 0

Date: 2020-01-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51429 1709 20 42 0
c1 272 6219 1998 722 0
c2 0 812 4737 4482 0
c3 0 32 692 2494 0
c4 0 0 38 278 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51282 1805 45 122 0
c1 419 5284 1353 443 0
c2 0 1624 4958 4333 0
c3 0 59 1074 2852 0
c4 0 0 55 268 0

Date: 2020-01-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53044 1883 30 36 0
c1 370 5631 1678 767 0
c2 0 763 4158 5140 0
c3 0 26 515 2787 0
c4 0 16 46 216 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52803 1940 55 105 0
c1 609 4871 1027 452 0
c2 2 1442 4533 4797 0
c3 0 56 753 3369 0
c4 0 10 59 223 0

Date: 2020-01-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53179 1885 39 12 0
c1 427 4781 1267 460 0
c2 5 1069 3977 3911 0
c3 0 26 534 2733 0
c4 0 1 44 247 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53040 1777 83 39 0
c1 546 4015 669 337 0
c2 25 1924 4315 3546 0
c3 0 42 753 3175 0
c4 0 4 41 266 0


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