Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2019-12-26

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2019-12-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55334 1737 43 14 0
c1 1052 8697 4322 911 0
c2 0 656 5166 5106 0
c3 0 21 228 1336 0
c4 0 0 8 101 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-12-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56548 2117 48 16 0
c1 431 8090 4372 1263 0
c2 0 286 4340 4645 0
c3 0 7 216 1134 0
c4 0 0 22 157 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-12-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55698 1625 47 21 0
c1 493 7929 3682 915 0
c2 0 649 3858 4650 0
c3 0 20 259 1214 0
c4 0 0 85 127 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-12-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 57104 1561 30 26 0
c1 500 7737 3867 721 0
c2 0 1087 5028 4606 0
c3 0 10 330 1281 0
c4 0 7 89 132 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 57094 1539 32 26 0
c1 510 7809 3888 742 0
c2 0 1037 5014 4595 0
c3 0 10 323 1274 0
c4 0 7 87 129 0

Date: 2019-12-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55169 1492 32 39 0
c1 584 7270 2872 460 0
c2 0 1349 5522 5262 0
c3 0 81 283 1474 0
c4 0 6 32 107 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55150 1467 33 40 0
c1 603 7368 2813 474 0
c2 0 1276 5573 5277 0
c3 0 81 290 1445 0
c4 0 6 32 106 0

Date: 2019-12-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55705 1791 25 24 0
c1 435 7084 3489 795 0
c2 0 687 6073 5325 0
c3 0 36 392 1316 0
c4 0 0 15 65 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55482 1587 27 43 0
c1 658 6735 2300 415 0
c2 0 1221 7161 5620 0
c3 0 54 477 1364 0
c4 0 1 29 83 0

Date: 2020-01-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56276 1908 38 24 0
c1 428 5861 2344 678 0
c2 0 821 5327 5356 0
c3 0 43 367 1419 0
c4 0 3 12 168 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55965 1813 43 47 0
c1 739 5236 1675 417 0
c2 0 1517 5878 5491 0
c3 0 67 472 1485 0
c4 0 3 20 205 0

Date: 2020-01-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56233 1798 34 12 0
c1 553 6562 2311 441 0
c2 0 1123 6165 5324 0
c3 0 43 394 2112 0
c4 0 3 15 205 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55808 1974 51 21 0
c1 977 5761 1919 437 0
c2 1 1698 6280 5305 0
c3 0 93 649 2096 0
c4 0 3 20 235 0


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