Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2019-12-12

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2019-12-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 61634 2675 41 0 0
c1 717 8784 3839 1533 0
c2 0 671 2320 4050 0
c3 0 17 212 359 0
c4 0 1 20 86 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-12-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 58352 3098 37 4 0
c1 493 9146 4553 1746 0
c2 0 317 2330 3832 0
c3 0 11 126 330 0
c4 0 0 7 56 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-12-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 59609 2752 43 15 0
c1 845 10340 4683 1289 0
c2 0 493 2918 4154 0
c3 0 13 118 453 0
c4 0 0 9 70 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-12-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 58663 2442 65 22 0
c1 1014 10080 5095 1115 0
c2 0 438 3330 4789 0
c3 0 10 137 690 0
c4 0 0 10 62 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 58668 2470 70 22 0
c1 1009 10061 5114 1128 0
c2 0 429 3291 4748 0
c3 0 10 149 717 0
c4 0 0 13 63 0

Date: 2019-12-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 58264 2430 41 1 0
c1 990 8700 4455 1195 0
c2 0 539 3781 4308 0
c3 0 10 211 1066 0
c4 0 0 11 60 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 58239 2439 38 1 0
c1 1015 8695 4464 1186 0
c2 0 535 3764 4292 0
c3 0 10 221 1090 0
c4 0 0 12 61 0

Date: 2019-12-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 57455 2403 45 10 0
c1 711 10147 3769 1022 0
c2 0 298 4672 4733 0
c3 0 6 184 1112 0
c4 0 0 9 62 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 57020 2352 56 10 0
c1 1146 9797 3995 989 0
c2 0 692 4307 4548 0
c3 0 13 312 1325 0
c4 0 0 9 67 0

Date: 2019-12-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50566 1993 46 5 0
c1 770 9385 4452 839 0
c2 0 546 5134 4896 0
c3 0 7 157 1441 0
c4 0 0 7 72 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50125 2188 66 5 0
c1 1211 8552 4143 824 0
c2 0 1176 5270 4628 0
c3 0 15 309 1717 0
c4 0 0 8 79 0

Date: 2019-12-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55334 1737 43 14 0
c1 1052 8697 4322 911 0
c2 0 656 5166 5106 0
c3 0 21 228 1336 0
c4 0 0 8 101 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54946 1882 56 14 0
c1 1440 7750 3878 881 0
c2 0 1439 5486 5004 0
c3 0 40 339 1467 0
c4 0 0 8 102 0


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