Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2019-12-05

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2019-11-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 64928 2802 33 5 0
c1 741 8480 4774 1197 0
c2 0 553 1970 3429 0
c3 0 6 192 388 0
c4 0 0 45 89 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-12-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 58825 2727 5 4 0
c1 520 8650 4243 1087 0
c2 0 392 2638 3281 0
c3 0 2 132 424 0
c4 0 0 6 73 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-12-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53802 2664 12 0 0
c1 836 8203 4196 1601 0
c2 0 361 2595 3904 0
c3 0 16 161 419 0
c4 0 1 6 72 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-12-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 63132 3110 11 0 0
c1 791 8609 3785 1783 0
c2 0 604 2386 3402 0
c3 0 6 212 377 0
c4 0 0 14 72 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 63154 3271 11 0 0
c1 769 8454 3784 1804 0
c2 0 598 2380 3370 0
c3 0 6 216 387 0
c4 0 0 17 73 0

Date: 2019-12-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 57141 2992 47 6 0
c1 818 9327 3945 1461 0
c2 0 510 2462 4402 0
c3 0 16 211 418 0
c4 0 0 25 72 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 57115 3098 49 6 0
c1 844 9228 3941 1483 0
c2 0 502 2455 4372 0
c3 0 14 219 424 0
c4 0 3 26 74 0

Date: 2019-12-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 58489 2900 42 9 0
c1 599 8854 4982 1373 0
c2 0 408 2677 3876 0
c3 0 4 122 395 0
c4 0 0 11 44 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 57926 2674 55 9 0
c1 1162 8754 4208 1094 0
c2 0 728 3388 4093 0
c3 0 9 171 460 0
c4 0 1 12 41 0

Date: 2019-12-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 59986 2415 58 14 0
c1 1114 10523 4493 1262 0
c2 0 424 3184 4532 0
c3 0 11 121 541 0
c4 0 0 8 41 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 59546 2435 66 18 0
c1 1548 9898 3795 1028 0
c2 6 1022 3785 4653 0
c3 0 18 205 649 0
c4 0 0 13 42 0

Date: 2019-12-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 59201 2454 67 15 0
c1 883 10494 4686 1086 0
c2 0 476 3599 4220 0
c3 0 7 165 769 0
c4 0 0 13 56 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 58572 2461 81 15 0
c1 1499 9473 4028 879 0
c2 13 1476 4120 4305 0
c3 0 21 287 878 0
c4 0 0 14 69 0


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