Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2019-11-28

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2019-11-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 67955 3088 51 2 0
c1 598 10711 3813 1486 0
c2 0 483 2685 3655 0
c3 0 5 77 270 0
c4 0 0 9 94 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-11-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 63993 3274 37 2 0
c1 349 8932 5504 1957 0
c2 0 270 1756 3146 0
c3 0 19 76 179 0
c4 0 0 4 75 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-11-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 48023 2854 9 1 0
c1 465 8925 4840 1412 0
c2 0 291 2022 3256 0
c3 0 1 98 232 0
c4 0 0 33 88 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-11-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 64191 2807 22 2 0
c1 661 8004 5284 1411 0
c2 0 480 1993 3239 0
c3 0 8 151 335 0
c4 0 1 33 102 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 64194 2876 24 2 0
c1 658 7951 5255 1410 0
c2 0 463 2015 3246 0
c3 0 8 152 331 0
c4 0 2 37 100 0

Date: 2019-11-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 66027 2833 36 4 0
c1 937 8738 4232 1128 0
c2 0 529 2417 3253 0
c3 0 1 202 426 0
c4 0 0 26 99 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 65987 2885 38 6 0
c1 977 8718 4205 1119 0
c2 0 497 2448 3256 0
c3 0 1 192 421 0
c4 0 0 30 108 0

Date: 2019-12-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54559 2747 6 2 0
c1 860 8242 4410 1408 0
c2 0 356 2694 3647 0
c3 0 15 165 385 0
c4 0 2 7 63 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54165 2919 14 3 0
c1 1254 7908 4099 1363 0
c2 0 518 2988 3682 0
c3 0 14 165 375 0
c4 0 3 16 82 0

Date: 2019-12-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 61834 3118 10 2 0
c1 811 8381 3792 1802 0
c2 0 379 2516 3758 0
c3 0 7 213 380 0
c4 0 0 13 65 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 61239 3421 32 2 0
c1 1406 7841 3473 1553 0
c2 0 616 2838 4011 0
c3 0 7 183 372 0
c4 0 0 18 69 0

Date: 2019-12-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 61634 2675 41 0 0
c1 717 8784 3839 1533 0
c2 0 671 2320 4050 0
c3 0 17 212 359 0
c4 0 1 20 86 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 61258 3108 73 0 0
c1 1093 7817 3311 1317 0
c2 0 1213 2838 4315 0
c3 0 9 185 314 0
c4 0 1 25 82 0


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