Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2019-11-14

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2019-11-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 73581 3408 55 2 0
c1 568 8883 5251 1492 0
c2 12 1294 2619 1756 0
c3 0 68 361 559 0
c4 0 7 42 94 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-11-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 74959 3716 23 0 0
c1 372 9444 4971 1910 0
c2 0 371 2678 2180 0
c3 0 3 70 283 0
c4 0 0 17 90 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-11-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 73177 3674 27 2 0
c1 828 10555 3881 1460 0
c2 0 1260 3169 1902 0
c3 0 21 102 324 0
c4 0 7 35 116 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-11-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 70933 3311 27 1 0
c1 1046 11573 3322 941 0
c2 0 2342 3830 2474 0
c3 0 24 202 362 0
c4 0 16 95 206 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 70996 3516 27 1 0
c1 983 11410 3313 933 0
c2 0 2299 3809 2412 0
c3 0 24 223 410 0
c4 0 17 104 228 0

Date: 2019-11-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 69359 3295 18 1 0
c1 1047 11675 3157 920 0
c2 0 3180 4720 2768 0
c3 0 89 359 1114 0
c4 0 61 160 238 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 69423 3414 20 1 0
c1 983 11603 3158 889 0
c2 0 3129 4636 2784 0
c3 0 80 413 1139 0
c4 0 74 187 228 0

Date: 2019-11-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 67352 3294 17 2 0
c1 631 12663 4166 1329 0
c2 0 886 3966 3687 0
c3 0 9 95 948 0
c4 0 0 31 151 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 66829 3355 20 2 0
c1 1154 11150 2832 1009 0
c2 0 2165 5046 3593 0
c3 0 89 213 1321 0
c4 0 93 164 192 0

Date: 2019-11-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49865 3373 21 1 0
c1 620 11680 4013 1353 0
c2 0 602 3754 3836 0
c3 0 2 69 219 0
c4 0 0 14 94 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49254 3447 22 1 0
c1 1231 10672 2371 687 0
c2 0 1450 5174 4202 0
c3 0 52 158 468 0
c4 0 36 146 145 0

Date: 2019-11-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 67955 3088 51 2 0
c1 598 10711 3813 1486 0
c2 0 483 2685 3655 0
c3 0 5 77 270 0
c4 0 0 9 94 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 67413 3139 76 2 0
c1 1140 9948 2389 547 0
c2 0 1145 3863 4301 0
c3 0 37 189 489 0
c4 0 18 118 168 0


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