Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2019-10-31

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2019-10-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 83940 4244 0 0 0
c1 542 9209 1002 293 0
c2 0 1183 2101 1587 0
c3 0 186 421 552 0
c4 0 72 163 295 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-10-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 81263 3730 0 0 0
c1 415 11547 1195 236 0
c2 0 1406 2040 1623 0
c3 0 174 570 558 0
c4 0 19 146 239 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-10-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 64469 4282 0 0 0
c1 543 12147 1325 195 0
c2 3 1703 1761 1530 0
c3 0 281 851 647 0
c4 0 66 246 299 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-10-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 78159 4046 5 0 0
c1 674 13467 1683 264 0
c2 11 1338 1735 1272 0
c3 0 158 589 879 0
c4 0 3 161 253 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 78128 4132 4 0 0
c1 708 13364 1676 268 0
c2 8 1323 1712 1197 0
c3 0 188 631 950 0
c4 0 5 150 253 0

Date: 2019-11-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 77734 3680 45 0 0
c1 529 14406 2040 306 0
c2 7 1117 1891 1347 0
c3 0 111 474 660 0
c4 0 1 65 236 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 77860 3933 45 0 0
c1 403 14108 2013 297 0
c2 7 1140 1890 1312 0
c3 0 132 502 709 0
c4 0 2 65 231 0

Date: 2019-11-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 77445 3137 61 2 0
c1 251 12095 4757 697 0
c2 2 703 2072 1375 0
c3 0 62 459 529 0
c4 0 0 48 181 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 77338 3980 102 2 0
c1 352 11189 4733 706 0
c2 8 726 2029 1341 0
c3 0 102 482 562 0
c4 0 0 51 173 0

Date: 2019-11-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 75288 3398 66 2 0
c1 260 9612 5959 1286 0
c2 12 934 2050 1512 0
c3 0 57 372 635 0
c4 0 0 44 169 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 75206 4150 84 2 0
c1 331 8911 6051 1298 0
c2 21 826 1936 1459 0
c3 2 114 383 677 0
c4 0 0 37 168 0

Date: 2019-11-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 73581 3408 55 2 0
c1 568 8883 5251 1492 0
c2 12 1294 2619 1756 0
c3 0 68 361 559 0
c4 0 7 42 94 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 73467 4223 59 2 0
c1 670 8418 5719 1653 0
c2 23 907 2096 1519 0
c3 1 105 405 628 0
c4 0 7 49 101 0


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