Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2019-10-17

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2019-10-11:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2019-10-13:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2019-10-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 83638 3362 0 0 0
c1 566 4643 651 242 0
c2 0 1151 1155 993 0
c3 0 264 613 510 0
c4 0 158 407 402 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-10-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 91672 3414 0 0 0
c1 806 5060 1005 313 0
c2 2 967 1372 1258 0
c3 0 152 535 843 0
c4 0 83 344 572 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 91620 3566 0 0 0
c1 857 4893 1022 308 0
c2 3 958 1307 1171 0
c3 0 175 599 944 0
c4 0 84 328 563 0

Date: 2019-10-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 90046 3647 0 0 0
c1 868 5627 1026 269 0
c2 5 927 1829 1276 0
c3 0 95 460 536 0
c4 0 24 237 314 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 90024 3750 0 0 0
c1 887 5533 1016 263 0
c2 8 908 1780 1212 0
c3 0 107 525 608 0
c4 0 22 231 312 0

Date: 2019-10-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 88494 3447 0 0 0
c1 777 6458 909 190 0
c2 0 1068 2195 1319 0
c3 0 116 408 502 0
c4 0 11 105 210 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 88095 3727 1 0 0
c1 1175 6150 981 192 0
c2 1 1074 2080 1261 0
c3 0 140 456 555 0
c4 0 9 99 213 0

Date: 2019-10-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 87618 3703 1 0 0
c1 767 7411 1017 242 0
c2 1 1080 2336 1537 0
c3 0 164 309 515 0
c4 0 51 147 224 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 86920 3816 1 0 0
c1 1465 7342 1096 265 0
c2 1 1013 2218 1460 0
c3 0 188 344 564 0
c4 0 50 151 229 0

Date: 2019-10-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 83940 4244 0 0 0
c1 542 9209 1002 293 0
c2 0 1183 2101 1587 0
c3 0 186 421 552 0
c4 0 72 163 295 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 82910 4209 0 0 0
c1 1569 9250 1074 332 0
c2 3 1169 1943 1486 0
c3 0 186 502 616 0
c4 0 80 168 293 0


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