Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2019-03-28

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2019-03-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52072 1415 39 0 0
c1 645 5920 1008 139 0
c2 2 1911 4557 2361 0
c3 0 288 2120 2410 0
c4 0 39 422 2444 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-03-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53013 1663 5 3 0
c1 649 7905 1374 417 0
c2 0 1611 4412 2009 0
c3 0 157 1270 2115 0
c4 0 50 286 2283 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-03-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50567 1646 47 7 0
c1 505 7481 1977 773 0
c2 0 1924 4179 2707 0
c3 0 141 1126 3045 0
c4 0 119 246 2432 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-03-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49888 1579 66 10 0
c1 686 7373 1255 764 0
c2 2 1767 3709 2940 0
c3 0 385 1086 3699 0
c4 0 91 411 4186 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49870 1613 68 26 0
c1 704 7317 1221 760 0
c2 2 1788 3717 2943 0
c3 0 381 1114 3668 0
c4 0 96 407 4202 0

Date: 2019-03-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50661 2224 70 32 0
c1 671 7323 1070 581 0
c2 11 2260 3652 2051 0
c3 4 352 1363 2132 0
c4 0 63 364 2446 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50656 2339 72 42 0
c1 673 7192 1076 596 0
c2 13 2267 3612 2041 0
c3 5 358 1396 2091 0
c4 0 66 363 2472 0

Date: 2019-04-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53792 2061 40 20 0
c1 483 7464 1838 953 0
c2 0 1111 3310 2682 0
c3 0 202 1036 2190 0
c4 0 35 479 1839 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53551 2092 79 79 0
c1 713 5948 1148 584 0
c2 11 2398 3307 2261 0
c3 0 364 1506 2648 0
c4 0 71 663 2112 0

Date: 2019-04-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52931 2730 29 14 0
c1 336 7348 1648 719 0
c2 0 1668 3241 2564 0
c3 0 327 1204 2435 0
c4 0 100 592 2063 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52638 2578 48 58 0
c1 629 5885 1089 529 0
c2 0 3008 3095 2275 0
c3 0 529 1698 2659 0
c4 0 173 784 2274 0

Date: 2019-04-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52091 2473 36 18 0
c1 458 7622 1373 546 0
c2 1 1607 3587 1515 0
c3 0 312 1099 1368 0
c4 0 100 441 1291 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51772 2449 57 22 0
c1 775 5840 932 431 0
c2 3 3206 3397 1320 0
c3 0 455 1560 1489 0
c4 0 164 590 1476 0


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