Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2019-03-21

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2019-03-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 40623 1428 90 47 0
c1 514 5608 1642 550 0
c2 0 1114 4055 2221 0
c3 0 313 1582 3418 0
c4 0 67 298 2479 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-03-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 50399 1522 73 11 0
c1 709 5888 1825 620 0
c2 0 1149 3943 2657 0
c3 0 90 1129 2179 0
c4 0 13 251 2251 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-03-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 52442 1901 37 0 0
c1 710 5487 1795 422 0
c2 0 1394 4255 2771 0
c3 0 138 1674 2488 0
c4 0 22 316 2296 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-03-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 52857 1619 34 0 0
c1 911 6353 1198 121 0
c2 0 1607 4525 2586 0
c3 0 191 1889 2454 0
c4 0 27 255 2039 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 52929 1697 31 0 0
c1 839 6283 1223 125 0
c2 0 1599 4502 2571 0
c3 0 189 1894 2468 0
c4 0 29 251 2036 0

Date: 2019-03-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 46733 1864 11 0 0
c1 835 6068 698 201 0
c2 2 2647 4540 2141 0
c3 0 396 1918 2508 0
c4 0 71 399 2291 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 46707 1852 9 0 0
c1 860 6074 740 208 0
c2 3 2638 4523 2143 0
c3 0 410 1898 2477 0
c4 0 72 396 2313 0

Date: 2019-03-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 49202 1477 22 3 0
c1 505 7745 1667 517 0
c2 0 1741 4281 2190 0
c3 0 120 1167 1910 0
c4 0 47 218 2101 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 48887 1391 25 3 0
c1 813 5986 1047 337 0
c2 7 3313 4065 1875 0
c3 0 372 1872 2221 0
c4 0 68 346 2285 0

Date: 2019-03-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 47070 1189 43 27 0
c1 441 6937 1513 844 0
c2 1 1553 4044 3062 0
c3 0 275 1308 3426 0
c4 0 124 360 3366 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 46830 1114 25 9 0
c1 646 5394 898 503 0
c2 36 2855 3877 2863 0
c3 0 565 1883 3801 0
c4 0 150 585 3549 0

Date: 2019-03-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 52842 2020 80 12 0
c1 665 6751 1246 687 0
c2 9 2088 3741 2216 0
c3 0 384 1338 2580 0
c4 0 101 380 2674 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 52368 1749 39 11 0
c1 1122 5482 716 369 0
c2 21 3127 3647 1935 0
c3 5 766 1853 2912 0
c4 0 220 530 2942 0


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